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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Afan Louied 3y 5 | A L Jeffery — 20% R385 W78 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 23 (2) | 22 (3) | 27 (1) | 18 (5) | 27 (2) | 22 (4) | 24 (3) | 18 (4) | 24 (3) | 25 (3) | 21 | 23 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 1 | 10/11F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kildallon Poppyb 4y 14 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1223 W178 P615 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 21 (3) | 19 (5) | 21 (3) | 27 (1) | 19 (3) | 21 (2) | 21 (3) | 12 (6) | 12 (5) | 9 (6) | 15 | 17 | - | 17 | 20 | 21 | 4 | 12/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Runaway Mayb 5y 14 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1223 W178 P615 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 18 (5) | 25 (2) | 26 (3) | 17 (6) | 10 (6) | 23 (3) | 14 (6) | 20 (6) | 19 (4) | - | 8 | 29 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hawkfield Echob 1y 14 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1223 W178 P615 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 21 (3) | 20 (6) | 28 (4) | 25 (1) | 12 (6) | 19 (3) | 21 (6) | 27 (4) | - | - | - | 27 | - | 21 | 22 | 21 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Pandy Jensond 5y 27 | C Darch — 23% R386 W87 P214 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 27 (1) | 14 (5) | 20 (4) | 25 (2) | 18 (5) | 15 (5) | 26 (1) | 18 (3) | 16 (4) | 13 (6) | 34 | 21 | 8 | 27 | 20 | 21 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
Afan Louie holds the highest speed rating in this field (59) and the highest average performance (23), and the h3FullHybrid model selects him as the standout candidate. He has been a consistent presence in D5 company at Valley, finishing second on 10 June (P23), third on 3 June (P22), and winning at D6 on 27 May ('EP,LedFr2,Rls' — showing early pace). His race comments include 'EP,LedFr2' and 'Crd1,ROn' suggesting he does go forward from the traps. T1 is the weakest available draw (16.6%) which is a genuine disadvantage at Valley 260m, but his speed advantage and consistent D5 placing makes him the model's selection. In a field this tight, any small advantage in raw ability is significant.
Most recent win with exactly the right pace evidence. TrackSpec and XGB prefer her. The danger on current form.
Decent draw and placed form but inconsistent and no strong pace evidence. Place prospect.
Inconsistent at D5 level and in a below-average draw. Hard to be confident about her winning today.
Best available draw and some early pace history. Regular placer but hard to see her breaking through for the win against Afan Louie and Pandy Jenson today.
T6 vacant (best draw 23.3%). All five runners have very similar average performances (20-23) making individual form and pace evidence the key differentiators. Afan Louie has highest speed (59) and h3FullHybrid consensus. Pandy Jenson won last week from T5 showing QAw early pace.
T6:23.3% (vacant) T2:18.1% T5:17.9% T3:17.7% T4:16.8% T1:16.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.