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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bale Out Lucyb 3y 4 | A L Jeffery — 20% R385 W78 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 26 (2) | 24 (5) | 33 (2) | 27 (4) | 27 (4) | 31 (1) | 31 (2) | 27 (2) | 26 (3) | 17 (6) | 38 | 35 | 19 | 34 | 27 | 30 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Quivers Blondieb 2y 2 | J A Danahar — 19% R306 W59 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 3 | 5 | 1/3F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cill Dubh Minnieb 3y 5 | D S Davy — 21% R440 W91 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 50 | 32 (1) | 27 (3) | 33 (5) | 40 (4) | 43 (5) | 70 (1) | 60 (3) | 45 (4) | 49 (2) | 62 (2) | 28 | 26 | - | 27 | 41 | 30 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballyregan Niamhb 4y 45 | P T Maynard — 21% R199 W42 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 50 | 50 (4) | 46 (5) | 75 (1) | 44 (5) | 60 (2) | 45 (4) | 77 (1) | 65 (1) | 56 (1) | - | - | 41 | - | - | 56 | 30 | 1 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Spread The Gloryb 3y 6 | J A Danahar — 19% R306 W59 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 20 (6) | 32 (1) | 25 (4) | 23 (3) | 27 (2) | 30 (2) | 15 (6) | 27 (2) | 17 (6) | 32 (3) | 23 | 37 | 20 | 31 | 25 | 27 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
Ballyregan Niamh is making a significant drop in class and a big change in distance today — from A4/A5 460m racing into D3 260m — but her average performance of 56 is comfortably the highest in this field and the model selects her on that raw quality. At 460m she has been placing regularly in strong company: a win at A5 with a rating of 75, second and third places in A4 company, all consistent ratings between P44 and P75 over 460m. The outstanding question is whether she can handle the short sprint at Valley. She showed early pace at 460m (pace scores of 53, best bend rating 50), which gives some confidence that she can be competitive through the first bend. Trap 4 wins 16.8% here — below average — but if her class translates, she has enough to dominate this field.
Most proven at this distance and currently in form. The danger if Ballyregan Niamh cannot adapt to the 260m sprint.
Solid D3 performer and regular placer. Place prospect but unlikely to find the gear to win against Ballyregan Niamh's class advantage or Cill Dubh Minnie's current form.
Unassessable on available data. Could surprise but there is no evidence to support confidence. A significant unknown in this race.
Modest performer. Won at D4 recently but D3 looks too tough today given the presence of Ballyregan Niamh's class.
T6 vacant. Ballyregan Niamh's average performance of 56 is the highest in the field and comes from A4/A5 460m racing — a big class advantage if she adapts to the sprint distance. T3 Cill Dubh Minnie in the best available draw (17.7%) is the form pick at this distance.
T6:23.3% (vacant) T2:18.1% T5:17.9% T3:17.7% T4:16.8% T1:16.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bale Out Lucy | 0.643 | — |
| 2 | Quivers Blondie | — | — |
| 3 | Cill Dubh Minnie | 0.641 | 0.647 |
| 4 | Ballyregan Niamh | — | 0.639 |
| 5 | Spread The Glory | 0.646 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.