Tuesday 21st July 2026
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Woe Coletteb 3y 9 | D Blackbird — 16% R1099 W177 P606 Trainer form — last 3 months | 77 | 59 | 60 | 57 (3) | 56 (3) | 61 (3) | 63 (2) | 37 (6) | 69 (1) | 50 (4) | 62 (5) | 45 (2) | - | 31 | 27 | 8 | 16 | 56 | 50 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Blackhouseharleyd 2y 45 | S Ray — 13% R358 W48 P199 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 37 | 38 | 29 (6) | 54 (2) | 49 (5) | 46 (4) | 36 (6) | 40 (6) | 43 (6) | 64 (2) | 75 (1) | 58 (3) | 23 | 23 | 14 | 17 | 46 | 14 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Alnwick Toonarmyd 3y 14 | A Harrison — 22% R537 W117 P318 Trainer form — last 3 months | 64 | 44 | 49 | 35 (5) | 51 (4) | 52 (4) | 69 (1) | 58 (2) | 49 (4) | 59 (2) | 43 (5) | 62 (1) | 46 (2) | 31 | 32 | - | 37 | 51 | 42 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Sixsevensixsevend 2y 17 | J T Edgar — 17% R530 W89 P287 Trainer form — last 3 months | 81 | 62 | 43 | 64 (2) | 71 (1) | 38 (6) | 58 (4) | 62 (3) | 61 (3) | 55 (3) | 62 (2) | 54 (4) | 59 (2) | 35 | 35 | 32 | 31 | 59 | 51 | 1 | 5/6F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Royal Navyd 1yN/R 12 | J J Fenwick — 18% R494 W91 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | 70 | 52 | 51 | 48 (5) | 50 (4) | 44 (6) | 73 (1) | 49 (4) | 62 (1) | 35 (5) | - | - | - | 28 | 30 | 18 | 21 | 52 | 42 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Leond 2y 18 | J T Edgar — 17% R530 W89 P287 Trainer form — last 3 months | 73 | 46 | 59 | 44 (4) | 65 (2) | 34 (6) | 48 (3) | 41 (5) | 67 (1) | 60 (3) | 52 (3) | 43 (5) | 64 (2) | 22 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 50 | 38 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sixsevensixseven | 29.29 | 29.54 | 29.59 | 62 | +0.30 | Model pick on ratings | |
| 1 | Woe Colette | 29.31 | 29.65 | 29.63 | 59 | +0.32 | ||
| 5 | Royal Navy | 29.38 | 29.81 | 29.79 | 52 | +0.41 | Trouble in running last two starts | |
| 3 | Alnwick Toonarmy | 29.39 | 29.77 | 30.40 | 44 | +1.01 | Bumped last time | |
| 6 | Swift Leon | 29.44 | 29.80 | 30.13 | 46 | +0.69 | ||
| 2 | Blackhouseharley | 29.66 | 29.93 | 30.34 | 37 | +0.68 | Stewards trial 7 days ago |
Woe Colette and Sixsevensixseven both showed early pace last time out and both break from boxes that get a clean run at the first bend, so the fight for the front over the opening stages should be lively. Swift Leon and Royal Navy have both been racing wide recently, which at a track where roughly a quarter of all runs carry some kind of bump note is a real risk over 480 metres — ground lost early is hard to find back on a track this tight. If Royal Navy can steer clear of the trouble that cost him his last two starts and get a tow into the race, the ratings suggest he has enough pace late on to trouble the leaders. If he gets buried again, this boils down to a fight between the red and black jackets up front.
Consistent without winning recently, but the last two runs read better than the bare result — badly bumped at the first bend one start back and forced wide again next time, so the form is stronger than the finishing positions suggest. Drops from A4 company today, which is a genuine positive after finding tougher opposition too sharp. The orange jacket hasn't been a prolific box in this grade, winning around one in six, and his trainer's record in these exact conditions is moderate rather than outstanding. What stands out is the pace late on — he's shown the fastest closing sectionals of anyone in this field across his last three starts when clear of trouble. The ratings have him just ahead and the class drop backs that up, though the draw and the traffic he's had recently mean this isn't a case where everything lines up perfectly.
Coming off a solid run last time, finishing well to be second, and the form before that includes a win from the front two starts back. The fastest dog in the field on both best and average time, with a clear margin over the rest of this line-up, and he's reproduced that speed consistently rather than flattering to deceive. The black jacket has a fair record in this grade at Newcastle, sitting above the average for the trip, though his trainer hasn't had much luck in these specific conditions. Shows early pace and looks capable of leading if he breaks well, which matters given how much interference features in results at this track. The most dangerous runner in this race on the clock — if he gets the run of the race, the ratings could easily be turned over.
Well below his best on official form, with no wins from his last six starts and a wide margin of defeat when last seen in a race back in April. There's a hidden signal worth flagging though — he had a stewards-required trial just seven days ago and finished second from this same box, which suggests connections have been working on whatever caused the layoff. His trainer has the best record of any handler in this race in these exact conditions, over one in five, which stands out. The blue jacket is one of the weaker boxes in this grade and the sectional times remain modest. On known form he's up against it, but the recent trial and the strong trainer record make him worth a second glance for anyone trusting the stable's judgment.
Consistent rather than spectacular, placing third in each of his last two starts without getting his head in front, though he was doing the donkey work in front on both occasions before being caught. The red jacket has a reasonable record in this grade and he's shown a clear liking for racing on the rails, which pairs well with an inside draw. Not the quickest in this field but not far off it either, sitting just behind the pace leaders on the clock. Respected by the ratings and could easily reverse recent form if he gets the run of the race from the rail, though he needs to find a little extra to get all the way to the line this time.
Form has dipped over the last two starts, beaten a long way when bumped at the first bend most recently after being checked the run before — two races where trouble in running has masked his true form. The white jacket is the strongest draw in this grade at Newcastle by some distance, winning close to a quarter of the time, which is a big structural plus. His trainer's record in these conditions is only moderate, and the clock says he's not among the pace leaders in this field even accounting for the traffic. Up against it on today's numbers, though the best box in the race and a recent history of being unlucky mean he shouldn't be written off entirely.
Mixed recent form — a big eyecatcher two starts back when leading and running on well despite racing wide throughout, but that was sandwiched between a heavily bumped run and a below-par effort last time. The striped jacket has the weakest record of any box in this grade at Newcastle, which is a genuine hurdle from the widest draw. Shows good early pace when he gets a clean break, but his tendency to race wide is a real handicap at a track where interference is common. Has it to do on the ratings from the least productive box, though the eyecatching effort in the middle of his last three shows there's ability there when things fall right.
Key insight: White has the best record in this grade at Newcastle over 480 metres, winning roughly one in four starts against one in six from the two widest boxes.
White (box three) strongest at 23%, orange and stripes weakest around 16%
2,513 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Woe Colette | 55 | 47 | Front Runner |
2Blackhouseharley | 37 | 76 | Closer |
3Alnwick Toonarmy | 50 | 53 | All-Rounder |
4Sixsevensixseven | 38 | 97 | Closer |
5Royal Navy | 50 | 44 | All-Rounder |
6Swift Leon | 55 | 34 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.