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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Antigua Belleb 4y 16 | J J Heath — 21% R372 W79 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 24 | 44 (1) | 36 (2) | 34 (2) | 24 (6) | 29 (5) | 41 (2) | 36 (3) | 44 (1) | 39 (2) | 27 (6) | 45 | 40 | 28 | 40 | 38 | 40 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Athy Townb 2y 14 | M J Richards — 16% R171 W28 P92 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 54 | 42 (3) | 39 (3) | 21 (5) | 41 (2) | 15 (5) | 30 (2) | 22 (5) | 27 (4) | 26 (4) | 31 (1) | 28 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 29 | 31 | 5 | 6/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sladeys Knightd 3y 8 | S Maplesden — 17% R279 W48 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 45 | 28 (5) | 27 (4) | 33 (2) | 35 (3) | 27 (5) | 42 (1) | 30 (3) | 26 (6) | 34 (3) | 29 (5) | 26 | 32 | - | 39 | 30 | 32 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Chisem Tobyd 1y 7 | R J Holloway — 20% R286 W58 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 56 | 32 (3) | 40 (3) | 34 (4) | 38 (3) | 30 (4) | 33 (4) | 48 (1) | 47 (1) | 25 (5) | 34 (4) | 40 | 42 | 18 | 25 | 35 | 35 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Chisem Izzieb 1y 17 | R J Holloway — 20% R286 W58 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 47 | 35 (3) | 34 (3) | 19 (6) | 31 (4) | 38 (4) | 21 (6) | 29 (5) | 42 (1) | 32 (2) | 22 (5) | 52 | 48 | - | 41 | 33 | 42 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
Antigua Belle has the best form in this weak field — an average performance of 38 that's 3-5 points ahead of her rivals. She's a closer with very strong pace consistency, meaning you know she'll deliver a reliable run every time. Her recent form shows two wins from her last five (positions 3, 1, 2, 1, 6) and the 44 posted two starts ago was a notable effort for this grade. Drawn on the rail in trap 1, which is structurally positive at 21.5%, and her suitability profile is solid across the board — 40 for track, 40 for distance, 45 for trap. At A10 grade, where the model can't distinguish between runners, her consistency and structural draw provide the slight edge needed to be called the pick.
Best course form in the field despite a poor structural draw — the primary danger with recent winning form.
Form in freefall with poor suitability at this draw — very hard to make a case for him.
Best speed and an impressive winning record despite puzzlingly low ratings — a contender who defies the model.
Honest runner who might pick up a place but lacks the quality to threaten the pick.
EXTREME LOW SEPARATION — composite rank 3 actually wins MORE than rank 1 (27.3% vs 19.2%). The model's rankings are essentially random at A10 grade. Suitability and luck in running will decide this.
T1:21.5% T2:17.9% T3:23.3% T4:18.3% T5:15.2% T6:19.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Antigua Belle | 30 | 100 | Closer |
2Athy Town | 56 | 27 | Fader |
3Sladeys Knight | 42 | 86 | Closer |
4Chisem Toby | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Chisem Izzie | 50 | 43 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 460m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua Belle | — | — | 0.615 |
| 2 | Athy Town | 0.617 | 0.620 | 0.621 |
| 3 | Sladeys Knight | — | — | 0.621 |
| 4 | Chisem Toby | — | — | 0.616 |
| 5 | Chisem Izzie | — | — | 0.621 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.