Newinn Ginger's average performance of 81 makes him the classiest dog in this field by over 10 points — a chasm at any grade. His last start produced a 78, and he's placed second in five consecutive races, showing he's always competitive even when not winning. The concern is the three very weak runs before that — 16, 21, and 19 — which are hard to explain for a dog of his ability and suggest something may have been amiss. If those dips are behind him, his closing speed is devastating and the galloping Hove 500 metres is tailor-made for that style. He's a dog who finishes strongly from off the pace and his trainer Cahill, despite a modest overall rate, has a strong record placing him at Hove. The class advantage is so large that even from a slightly below-average trap 2 draw, he should get the job done if anywhere near his best.