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Kingdom Stadium Novice Stakes Round 2 Heat 3
Model does not predict this race
Novice/Open (ON) grade races at Irish tracks are not predicted — insufficient model signal for this grade format
This race is excluded from all accuracy and results tracking.
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Slippy Teddyd 1y | James O'Rourke — 13% R8 W1 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | - | 50 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20 | 18 | - | 18 | 50 | 51 | 2 | 5/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Killeacle Kobed 1y | - | - | 58 | - | 49 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20 | 18 | - | 18 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Camp Robinb 1y 1 | James O'Regan — 36% R11 W4 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 76 | - | 65 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | - | 30 | 65 | 62 | 1 | 1/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ardrahan Rondab 1y 1 | - | - | 16 | - | 41 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 41 | 19 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Millridge Tinyb 1y | - | - | 42 | - | 45 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 45 | 34 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
The form book does not require much analysis here — Camp Robin won at ON3 last week rating 65 with a speed of 75, both of which are the best figures in tonight's field by a clear margin. The next-best performance is 50 (Slippy Teddy), the next-best speed is 66 (Slippy Teddy). That is a 15-point performance gap and a 9-point speed gap to the nearest rival. Trainer Mike Browne is running a stablemate (Camp Seanie) in Race 4 and both are clearly the class of their respective ON3 heats. Camp Robin has course and distance suitability established and a trainer who fires horses here at 29%. Trap 4 is not the best structural draw but when the ability advantage is this pronounced, it matters very little.
Main danger — second-best on both performance and speed. Solid but clear second best to Camp Robin.
Similar form level to Slippy Teddy — could pick up a place but the gap to Camp Robin is significant.
Weakest figures in the field by a significant margin. No realistic winning chance.
Mid-pack form from only run. Not close enough to the leaders to challenge.
Below the competitive group on both measures. Wide draw an additional negative.
23-run sample at ON3 525m Tralee is statistically negligible. Analysis is driven entirely by last week's form. Camp Robin won with a 65-rated performance (speed 75), the best figures by a wide margin in this heat.
T1:0% T2:25% T3:0% T4:0% T5:0% T6:0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.