The highest composite score in the field and the best speed at 57 — the two primary model selection factors point firmly here. Has won at S2 grade before with a 93-rated performance, and the recent record shows 71 (third at S2) and 93 (S2 win) among a sequence of strong runs. Trainer at 25% win rate adds confidence. Course and distance form well established (suitability 29/29). Trap 5 is not ideal structurally at this sprint distance (14.3% wins), which is the draw concession to accept. But when the ability gap is this clear — top composite, best speed, previous S2 winner — the model gives the form advantage precedence over the trap disadvantage.