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The Shelley Fennelly Memorial Open Bitch Stake Rd 1 Ht 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Gortnagrage Judeb 1y 24 | - | - | 9 | - | 79 (2) | 82 (1) | 45 (3) | 33 (5) | 49 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 26 | 37 | 18 | 39 | 61 | 25 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Clan Sapphireb 2y 16 | Francis Murray — 20% R5 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 91 (2) | 90 (2) | 54 (2) | 53 (2) | 54 (3) | 41 (4) | 68 (1) | 47 (4) | 44 (5) | 69 (1) | - | - | 12 | 30 | 66 | 42 | 2 | 1/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Noon Balladb 1y 6 | Kieran Lynch — 33% R12 W4 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 97 (6) | 63 (1) | 39 (5) | 52 (5) | 54 (5) | 41 (2) | 96 (6) | 79 (1) | 89 (2) | - | 70 | 56 | 12 | 50 | 67 | 57 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Cosmic Dancerb 1y 13 | Brendan Maunsell — 9% R11 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | - | 52 (6) | 79 (4) | 57 (5) | 88 (1) | 80 (2) | 68 (1) | 54 (3) | 61 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 67 | 39 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Balymartin Neadyb 2y 23 | - | - | 57 | - | 72 (5) | 40 (6) | 66 (1) | 87 (2) | 98 (1) | 82 (2) | 68 (4) | 79 (3) | 77 (4) | 76 (3) | 36 | - | - | 36 | 72 | 45 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Knockeen Aliyab 2y 12 | - | - | - | - | 66 (5) | 64 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 65 | 45 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
The most unusual profile in the race. Her most recent run at AA0 grade produced a 97-rated performance — which would be the best individual performance rating in this field — but she finished sixth and last in that race. The contradiction between performance rating and finishing position is striking and raises a question about what happened in that race: interference, a wide run, or some other factor that affected her finishing position while still producing a good time. Her form before that included a win at A0 grade with a 63 and inconsistency at lower levels. The trainer carries a 33% win rate which is the highest of any handler in this race. If the 97 is a genuine reflection of her ability rather than an artefact, she belongs at the head of this market. The uncertainty is real though and she is kept as a danger rather than the selection.
Back-to-back placed runs at AA0 525m and the best structural draw in the tiny sample. Main danger to Clan Sapphire.
Back-to-back 91 and 90-rated runs at AA0 525m in the last three weeks. Best consistent form at this exact course, grade and distance. Medium confidence pick.
Two consecutive last-place finishes at AA0 grade and in the structurally weakest trap in the tiny sample. Hard to recommend.
Highest average performance and 98-rated peak show exceptional ability but extreme volatility makes her unreliable. Worst structural draw in the tiny sample.
Only two career runs with a significant gap between them. Essentially unknown on available evidence. Cannot be recommended.
Sample of only 29 AA0 runs — treat as directional. Traps 4 and 5 have zero wins each from five runs. Form quality and recency are the primary analytical factors. Clan Sapphire's back-to-back 91 and 90-rated AA0 performances are the strongest recent form signal in this race.
T1:40% T2:20% T3:20% T4:0% T5:0% T6:25%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gortnagrage Jude | — | 0.562 | — |
| 2 | Clan Sapphire | — | 0.545 | — |
| 3 | Noon Ballad | — | 0.549 | — |
| 4 | Cosmic Dancer | 0.546 | 0.552 | 0.546 |
| 5 | Balymartin Neady | — | 0.550 | 0.542 |
| 6 | Knockeen Aliya | — | 0.548 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.