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The Bunty Cahill Memorial A2/A3 525 Stake Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Glenfinn Paddyd 2y 16 | - | - | 44 | - | 77 (3) | 84 (1) | 63 (3) | 64 (3) | 73 (2) | 70 (2) | 55 (3) | 65 (2) | 47 (6) | 63 (3) | 47 | 29 | - | 31 | 69 | 49 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Daring Diamondd 2y 25 | - | - | 52 | - | 83 (2) | 49 (6) | 87 (2) | 79 (2) | 100 (1) | 61 (6) | 60 (6) | 98 (1) | 90 (2) | 98 (1) | 18 | 54 | 18 | 54 | 78 | 54 | 1 | 5/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Knockacrump Bellb 3y 33 | - | - | 49 | - | 68 (3) | 48 (4) | 50 (2) | 67 (1) | 71 (4) | 63 (4) | 87 (1) | 66 (3) | 70 (2) | 64 (5) | - | 33 | 17 | 30 | 63 | 42 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Thurlesbeg Duked 1y 4 | - | - | 53 | - | 73 (2) | 38 (6) | 50 (2) | 67 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 37 | 18 | 36 | 57 | 52 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Badminton Mahlerd 2y 15 | James Kelleher — 8% R24 W2 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 81 (2) | 57 (5) | 80 (3) | 54 (5) | 71 (2) | 67 (3) | 65 (5) | 63 (4) | 48 (6) | 56 (6) | - | 22 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 46 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballinabola Baled 3y 14 | - | - | 49 | - | 96 (1) | 57 (6) | 71 (4) | 63 (6) | 71 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 22 | 23 | 10 | 21 | 73 | 50 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
The pick on form, despite trap 2 being one of the weaker starting positions at this course and distance. She has the highest average performance in the field at 78 and has been running at A1 level — the very top grade — for most of the season. Her recent form includes a maximum 100-rated winner in May at A1, an 87 at A1 the week before, and a 79 at A2 before that. The dip to 49 in her second-most-recent run can be excused as an off night at A1 grade against the strongest opposition. Stepping back to A2 looks a deliberate placement and she has shown consistently that she can find and sustain top-end performances. The 83 placed effort at A2 last week confirms she is running well right now. Her average performance of 78 sits notably above the field and the class advantage is significant.
Best structural draw in the race and improving form. The most likely to benefit if the selection encounters early trouble. Main danger.
WON here last week with an outstanding 96-rated effort. Form is volatile but the recent win demands respect. Second danger after Glenfinn Paddy.
Mid-range form at this course and distance, nothing to suggest she can match the principals. Best watched.
Best speed rating but very limited form evidence at only four runs. Poor draw compounds the uncertainty. Speculative at best.
Decent A2 form but in the worst structural draw position. Trainer record below average. Hard to favour from trap 5 despite recent placed effort.
Trap 1 dominates at 23.85% from 109 runs at A2 525m. Trap 5 is the weak draw at 12.04%. Composite rank-one wins a strong 26.05% from 119 runs and speed rank-one wins 24.58% — both well above baseline, making the model reliable at this grade over 637 runs.
T1:23.85% T2:14.71% T3:16.98% T4:14.02% T5:12.04% T6:15.24%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 550m | 575m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glenfinn Paddy | 0.564 | 0.560 | — | — |
| 2 | Daring Diamond | 0.551 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Knockacrump Bell | 0.559 | — | 0.554 | 0.564 |
| 4 | Thurlesbeg Duke | 0.553 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Badminton Mahler | 0.556 | 0.562 | — | — |
| 6 | Ballinabola Bale | 0.553 | 0.553 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.