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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salacres Cathb 4y 17 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 20 | 57 (2) | 83 (2) | 42 (5) | 49 (4) | 68 (4) | 62 (3) | 53 (4) | 54 (4) | 55 (4) | 54 (4) | 44 | 40 | 48 | 44 | 61 | 55 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Card Counterd 2y 24 | P Tsirigotis — 20% R56 W11 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 52 | 23 (5) | 22 (5) | 34 (6) | 42 (6) | 74 (5) | 52 (1) | 51 (2) | 43 (3) | 44 (4) | - | 27 | 32 | - | 18 | 64 | 51 | 6 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Vonder Expressd 2y 16 | D J Atkins — 17% R35 W6 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 55 | 56 (4) | 78 (1) | 67 (2) | 56 (4) | 68 (2) | 62 (4) | 67 (2) | 39 (6) | 68 (2) | 67 (2) | 63 | 57 | 37 | 41 | 60 | 58 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Pomba Gladysb 2y 6 | F J Gray — 20% R350 W70 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 85 | 35 (3) | 49 (5) | 72 (4) | 52 (4) | 74 (2) | 36 (3) | 42 (2) | 42 (1) | - | - | 28 | 60 | - | 30 | 70 | 59 | 3 | 2/1F | |
| 5 | ▶ Eclipsed Moonb 2y 15 | L J Pruhs — 23% R26 W6 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 53 | 35 (3) | 36 (6) | 72 (1) | 33 (4) | 52 (6) | 38 (2) | 38 (3) | 30 (5) | 44 (2) | 42 (1) | 51 | 47 | - | 23 | 58 | 52 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Salacres Brendand 3y 7 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 45 | 61 (2) | 43 (6) | 58 (5) | 56 (4) | 78 (1) | 59 (2) | 66 (3) | 71 (2) | 60 (3) | 76 (1) | 45 | 46 | 52 | 39 | 62 | 55 | 4 | 5/1 | |
The standout signal here is trainer D J Atkins at 38% — elite-tier, the highest trainer win rate in the entire Towcester card today. CS100 Closer at 500m on Towcester's galloping track is the ideal pace profile — she sits, waits for the Faders to collapse, then picks them off with room to close. Trap suit 63 is excellent and track suit 57 is the best in the field. Form is volatile (52→69→40→63→62) and that 40 is alarming, but at A3/OR grade — dropping to A4 gives her a class edge. Last 500m runs: 4th A3, 1st T3, 5th OR — the win was in trial conditions but the A3 4th shows she competes at higher grade.
DANGER: Three consecutive 2nds is both a strength (always competitive) and a concern (can't win). CS100 from T1 at 500m is structurally perfect. She'll be in the frame again — whether she can finally win is the question.
Two recent wins but at lower A5 grade. Volatile form with 45 latest is a red flag. Distance suit 18 and 13% trainer limit confidence despite the raw P64 ability.
On raw ability she's the best by far (P70, form 72-77). But Fader at 500m on a galloping track is a death sentence. She'll lead by 5 lengths at 300m then be caught and passed by every Closer in the field. Structurally wrong.
ELIMINATE: Fader with CS14 at 500m in the worst trap. Was 6th here last time. Despite 33% trainer, the pace profile and draw are dealbreakers.
A4 winner last time with strong CD form (1st, 5th, 2nd). But T6 is a poor draw at 16.43% and form has levelled since the win. The CD form keeps him honest but the draw limits.
T1 best trap at 23.45% from 226 runs, T4 close second at 22.88% from 236 runs. T5 and T6 are the graveyard at 15.55% and 16.43%. Closers dominate at 500m on this galloping track.
T1:23.45% T2:19.62% T3:18% T4:22.88% T5:15.55% T6:16.43%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Salacres Cath | 31 | 100 | Closer |
2Card Counter | 46 | 56 | Closer |
3Vonder Express | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Pomba Gladys | 92 | 0 | Fader |
5Eclipsed Moon | 58 | 14 | Fader |
6Salacres Brendan | 54 | 44 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.