Home Oonagh is a class apart from this field on recent form. Her performances of 96, 92, 90, 77, 72, 74 are exceptional — she has hit 90-plus three times in recent outings and is dropping from A2 into A3 today, suggesting the trainer believes she will find this easier. Five wins from ten course and distance runs is an outstanding record at Mullingar. Her speed of 60 is the highest in the field by a clear margin. The one concern is the draw: trap 5 at A3 here wins just 7.69% from 78 runs — a structural disadvantage that cannot be dismissed. However, when a dog's form is this far ahead of the opposition, the quality gap becomes the dominant factor. She has been winning comfortably at A2 standard with 90-plus performances; the A3 dogs she faces today are running 60-73 at best. Even from trap 5, she should have enough to assert herself. This is about whether the trap prevents her getting a clean run — if she does, she wins.