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The Lucky Last A6 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Once Soberb 1y 23 | - | - | 34 | - | 32 (6) | 56 (2) | 63 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | 42 | - | 34 | 49 | 23 | 3 | 7/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kuma Toscab 3y 15 | - | - | 54 | - | 57 (4) | 44 (6) | 55 (3) | 60 (4) | 70 (1) | 54 (5) | 64 (3) | 64 (2) | 69 (1) | 49 (4) | 1 | 19 | 13 | 24 | 57 | 43 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bawn Buckod 1y 1 | - | - | 50 | - | 33 (6) | 52 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | 42 | 37 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bluejig Roseb 1y 25 | - | - | 39 | - | 53 (4) | 50 (3) | 40 (4) | 48 (4) | 38 (6) | 35 (4) | 39 (5) | 34 (6) | 32 (5) | - | 1 | - | - | - | 44 | 25 | 4 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Riviera Robbied 3yN/R 26 | - | - | 63 | - | 42 (6) | 55 (5) | 46 (6) | 79 (1) | 57 (4) | 69 (2) | 62 (2) | 65 (4) | 81 (1) | 56 (4) | 16 | 34 | 31 | 35 | 58 | 47 | - | - | - | |
Kuma Tosca gets the selection on the combination of the best structural draw in this race and a consistent form profile over ten course and distance runs. Two wins from ten at this track and distance shows she has won at Mullingar before. Her recent form of 57, 44, 55, 60, 70, 54 includes a strong 70 three runs back and she has been running consistently in the mid-50s either side of that peak. Her average of 57 and speed of 52 sit mid-table in this field, which is not dominant. Trap 2 at A6 Mullingar wins 19.09% from 110 runs — the best draw in the race by a clear margin. In a wide-open final race featuring several unknowns, having the best structural draw and course experience tips the balance in her favour, though with limited conviction given the compressed form at the top of this field.
Main danger based on peak 69 and second-highest speed. Trap 5 below-average and recent form not reaching that peak. Danger but not selection.
Insufficient form and lowest metrics in the field. Too much to prove at this stage. Cannot be considered.
Insufficient form to assess. Two runs is too thin a sample — cannot be considered at this stage.
Zero wins from nine C&D runs is a clear negative. Gradual improvement in form but not yet at a winning level. Outside chance only.
Best ability in the field on peak form and highest speed, but trap 6 at A6 Mullingar is the worst draw at 8.42% and recent form is inconsistent. Hard to select despite the talent.
T2 dominant at A6 Mullingar with 19.09% from 110 runs. T6 worst at 8.42%. Composite rank one stronger at A6 than other grades at 20.0%. Speed rank one wins 21.95%.
T1:14.65% T2:19.09% T3:14.65% T4:15.49% T5:14.08% T6:8.42%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 600m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Once Sober | 0.578 | — |
| 2 | Kuma Tosca | 0.573 | — |
| 3 | Bawn Bucko | 0.574 | — |
| 4 | Bluejig Rose | 0.583 | — |
| 5 | Riviera Robbie | 0.568 | 0.570 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.