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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Foxrock Buddyd 2y 34 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R665 W132 P349 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | - | 45 (4) | 61 (1) | 27 (2) | 26 (4) | 27 (5) | 35 (5) | 26 (2) | 27 (3) | 26 (2) | 20 (4) | 4 | 28 | - | 27 | 20 | 18 | 6 | 11/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Plenty Of Trendd 4y 34 | D R Jinks — 17% R539 W89 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 48 | 53 (2) | 43 (4) | 55 (2) | 20 (2) | 13 (3) | 18 (4) | 45 (6) | 49 (4) | 43 (2) | - | 34 | 32 | - | 13 | 35 | 32 | 4 | 8/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Minnies Volgab 2y 19 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R665 W132 P349 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | - | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 19 (5) | 30 (1) | 18 (5) | 19 (5) | 31 (1) | 21 (4) | 30 (1) | 15 (6) | 11 | 26 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 20 | 5 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Mabels Ribbonsd 2y 16 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R665 W132 P349 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | - | 19 (5) | 22 (4) | 22 (5) | 21 (5) | 24 (1) | 15 (4) | 27 (2) | 24 (4) | 21 (4) | 24 (4) | 32 | 51 | 21 | 31 | 24 | 30 | 3 | 7/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Artys Cornerd 5y 17 | M J Rice — 22% R123 W27 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 52 | 28 (2) | 27 (2) | 24 (4) | 37 (6) | 18 (2) | 19 (2) | 30 (1) | 20 (5) | 21 (4) | 21 (4) | 31 | 26 | 35 | 44 | 24 | 28 | 2 | 6/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Maybe Laterd 4y 14 | D R Jinks — 17% R539 W89 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | - | 20 (2) | 28 (2) | 21 (4) | 17 (6) | 26 (2) | 17 (4) | 20 (6) | 32 (1) | 18 (6) | 22 (5) | 45 | 41 | 54 | 29 | 24 | 31 | 1 | 6/4F | ||
Dropping from D4 to D5 with a T6 draw — the DOMINANT trap at 22.6% from 897 runs. This is the perfect structural alignment for a LOW SEPARATION race: class drop plus dominant trap. Won from T6 at D4 on 1 April in 15.64s — the second-fastest time in this field — showing she can use the trap effectively. AvgPerf 24 is modest but identical to several rivals, and in a race where R1 wins just 22.2% vs R3 at 19.8%, the perf ranking is noise. Class suit 54 is field-highest, confirming the D4 drop gives her a genuine edge. Trap suit 45 is also field-highest. The inconsistency is a concern — she was 6th on her last two D4 starts before the drop — but the structural alignment is too strong to ignore.
DANGER — The class drop to D5 combined with the field-highest track suit (51) makes her a genuine threat. Her recent 15.73s at D4 would be competitive at this grade. The lack of a dominant trap draw prevents stronger confidence but she should be involved.
Very limited data to work with. The trap suit of 4 and zero class suit suggest this draw and grade aren't working for him. Trial form (15.82s) shows some raw speed but that hasn't translated to graded racing.
The avgPerf of 35 looks best on paper but the Closer profile makes it irrelevant at 238m. Two recent 238m failures (6th both times) confirm the sprint distance doesn't suit. The 415m form is his real level.
The last-start win is positive but the overall pattern is too inconsistent to trust. Low trap suit (11) and erratic form make her a speculative each-way option at best.
Form and speed say yes but the trap says no. In a LOW SEPARATION D5 race, the 15.8% dead trap is a bigger factor than the marginal h3 advantage. He could win on ability but the structural headwind keeps him out of the danger spots.
LOW SEPARATION — composite rank 1 wins just 22.2% vs rank 3 at 19.8% (2.4pp gap). Ratings are noise at D5 grade. T6 dominance at 22.6% from 897 runs is the strongest signal. Lead with trap bias and suitability, treat performance as a tiebreaker.
T1:17.4% T2:16.7% T3:18.5% T4:17.0% T5:15.8% T6:22.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.