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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Daring Duchessb 2y 18 | R P Rees — 23% R132 W30 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 52 | 49 (2) | 38 (5) | 57 (1) | 31 (5) | 51 (2) | 49 (1) | 43 (2) | 30 (5) | 47 (1) | 44 (2) | 49 | 41 | 15 | 49 | 45 | 45 | 1 | 15/8F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Punk Rock Thiefd 4y 26 | S Maplesden — 17% R274 W46 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 42 | 45 (5) | 46 (4) | 53 (2) | 61 (1) | 51 (2) | 57 (3) | 46 (1) | 50 (2) | 56 (2) | - | 37 | 35 | 30 | 41 | 50 | 46 | 3 | 9/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Melbury Tyrd 2y 5 | J J Heath — 21% R367 W77 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 38 | 41 (6) | 43 (5) | 61 (1) | 52 (3) | 36 (5) | 48 (3) | 57 (1) | 41 (4) | 52 (1) | 45 (2) | 48 | 49 | - | 46 | 49 | 49 | 2 | 9/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Ferryforth Zarab 3y 17 | G S Byford — 22% R227 W51 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 55 | 41 (5) | 39 (5) | 50 (5) | 31 (3) | 35 (5) | 41 (5) | 61 (6) | 52 (2) | 37 (3) | - | 36 | 40 | 20 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 4 | 8/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Harley Quinnb 2y 211 | S A Cahill — 19% R382 W74 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 59 | 61 (1) | 40 (5) | 40 (6) | 47 (1) | 52 (3) | 37 (1) | 43 (2) | 29 (2) | 37 (4) | - | 29 | 25 | - | 31 | 41 | 37 | 5 | 5/2 | ||
Daring Duchess is drawn in the strongest trap for A7 at Hove and her balanced all-round pace means she should make the most of the rail advantage. She won two starts back at this grade and distance with a strong figure, and her most recent run produced a solid second. Richard Rees's 30% strike rate — the best at the meeting — adds a significant training angle. Her distance suitability of 49 is strong and trap suitability of 49 confirms she handles the rail well. In a low-separation race where ratings can't split the field convincingly, the structural advantage of the best draw could prove decisive.
Best recent form sequence and strongest closing kick — the clear danger.
Promoted off a win with strong suitability — could surprise at the price.
Poor recent form and very low distance suitability — others preferred.
Honest runner but weak suitability scores limit her chances here.
Composite rank 2 actually outperforms rank 1 (22.6% vs 19.4%) from 1133 runs — the model's top-ranked dog wins less often than the second-ranked. Trap 1 is the best draw. Pure low-separation race.
T1:23.5% T2:20.5% T3:17.9% T4:17.2% T5:19.4% T6:21.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Daring Duchess | 54 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Punk Rock Thief | 43 | 100 | Closer |
3Melbury Tyr | 35 | 100 | Closer |
4Ferryforth Zara | 52 | 46 | All-Rounder |
5Harley Quinn | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.