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WATCH PGR ON GREYHOUNDS.ATTHERACES.COM
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Moyar Kingd 2y 4 | D Welding — 20% R69 W14 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 46 | 79 (1) | 77 (1) | 28 (4) | 48 (5) | 50 (5) | 47 (5) | 61 (5) | 76 (3) | 47 (1) | - | 28 | 25 | - | 38 | 59 | 49 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ivys Hollyb 2y 16 | D T Smith — 17% R404 W67 P197 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 53 | 40 (6) | 61 (3) | 30 (6) | 79 (3) | 81 (1) | 54 (5) | 19 (2) | 51 (3) | 57 (3) | - | 33 | 34 | 25 | 23 | 52 | 38 | 6 | 12/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sister Graceb 2y 14 | R L Hill — 12% R60 W7 P31 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 43 | 72 (2) | 61 (5) | 65 (6) | 68 (4) | 69 (4) | 82 (4) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 80 (3) | 67 (5) | 28 | 25 | 16 | 16 | 73 | 51 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Darbys Harlieb 3y 6 | S A Aveline — 9% R74 W7 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 60 | 60 (4) | 57 (2) | 67 (2) | 46 (5) | 41 (6) | 73 (3) | 42 (5) | 81 (1) | 74 (2) | 72 (2) | 36 | 35 | 48 | 32 | 59 | 49 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Quivers Jazzd 3y 14 | R L Hill — 12% R60 W7 P31 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 29 | 63 (2) | 45 (6) | 91 (2) | 60 (3) | 39 (6) | 58 (3) | 77 (2) | 83 (1) | 75 (2) | 75 (2) | 30 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 64 | 48 | 5 | 6/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Inclementweatherb 4y 26 | J R Hall — 20% R351 W71 P197 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 61 (3) | 79 (1) | 77 (1) | 63 (2) | 64 (3) | 63 (2) | 62 (2) | 73 (6) | 46 (4) | - | 34 | 37 | 23 | 45 | 67 | 52 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
Three stacking factors all converge on this runner and they are hard to argue with. First, he holds the best speed rating in the field (59) — the single strongest individual predictor at 480 metres. Second, trap 1 wins 23.3% at A3, the dominant structural draw in this race. Third, three wins from nine course and distance runs at this exact track and distance combination represents a 33% win rate at this specific combination, which is well above average. Add in recent back-to-back wins at A4 (performances of 79 and 77) and this is a runner in the form of his life who is stepping up just one grade. He has maximum early pace as a Fader, meaning he will be first to the bend and dictating from the front. The selection with clear justification.
Composite leader, very consistent form, two course and distance wins. Main danger if the Fader in trap 1 runs out of steam.
Good trap draw but speed deficit and inconsistent recent form make her hard to support.
Best performance average but structural death trap (8.93%). The draw is too costly despite impressive form.
Best bend rating in the field, active Fader, decent course experience. Competitive without threatening the selection.
High peak performance (91) but extremely volatile surrounding form. Cannot rely on the outlier run.
Trap 3 is structural death at A3 (8.93% from 112 runs). Trap 1 and trap 2 strongly favoured (23.3% and 21.74%). Speed rank 1 wins 19.63% — moderate. Composite R1 wins 20.89% — modest, genuine reasoning needed beyond the model.
T1:23.30% T2:21.74% T3:8.93% T4:16.07% T5:18.18% T6:17.44%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Moyar King | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Ivys Holly | 96 | 0 | Fader |
3Sister Grace | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Darbys Harlie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Quivers Jazz | 4 | 100 | Closer |
6Inclementweather | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 264m | 270m | 450m | 480m | 500m | 630m | 650m | 660m | 847m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moyar King | — | — | 0.610 | — | 0.608 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Ivys Holly | 0.645 | — | — | — | 0.612 | 0.614 | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Sister Grace | — | — | — | — | 0.605 | — | 0.619 | 0.616 | — | 0.636 |
| 4 | Darbys Harlie | — | — | — | — | 0.608 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Quivers Jazz | — | 0.581 | — | 0.605 | 0.610 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Inclementweather | — | — | — | — | 0.605 | — | — | — | 0.625 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.