| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mercia Stiorrab 3yREP 17 | K S Harrison — 19% R362 W67 P203 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 46 | 58 (6) | 61 (1) | 56 (1) | 53 (2) | 56 (1) | 40 (3) | 51 (2) | 45 (2) | 42 (3) | 44 (2) | 42 | 45 | 34 | 58 | 53 | 45 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Limekiln Pamb 6yREP 23 | N P Ralph Jnr — 17% R60 W10 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 48 | 60 (3) | 48 (5) | 57 (3) | 23 (5) | 49 (4) | 55 (4) | 64 (2) | 71 (1) | 61 (2) | 61 (2) | 26 | 31 | 22 | 21 | 53 | 43 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ De Girl Sootieb 3yREP 7 | S A Aveline — 9% R74 W7 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 61 | 58 (3) | 59 (2) | 42 (6) | 58 (3) | 39 (3) | 32 (6) | 58 (6) | 60 (3) | 71 (2) | - | 30 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 53 | 45 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bower Blissb 2yREP 4 | G B Ballentine — 16% R117 W19 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 45 | 55 (2) | 52 (2) | 41 (4) | 55 (3) | 50 (2) | 37 (6) | 35 (6) | 47 (5) | 45 (5) | 67 (1) | 11 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 49 | 42 | 4 | 7/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tinnaban Taylorb 2yREP 8 | R Short — 19% R152 W29 P71 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 63 | 75 (3) | 62 (1) | 57 (1) | 45 (2) | 34 (5) | 25 (6) | 56 (1) | 32 (4) | 26 (6) | 51 (4) | 35 | 38 | 23 | 46 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Grey Doveb 3y 14 | I E Walker — 12% R244 W30 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 69 (2) | 35 (6) | 48 (3) | 55 (4) | 68 (1) | 40 (5) | 58 (3) | 54 (3) | 48 (4) | 50 (3) | 25 | 22 | 29 | 18 | 53 | 40 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
The most compelling form line on this card: the trajectory reads 75, 62, 57, 45, 34, 25 — reading from most recent to oldest — meaning this dog has improved from 25 to 75 across her last six runs, a dramatic upward curve that usually signals a dog reaching her peak. The last race P75 came at OR grade over 275 metres — the highest available class — where she finished third. That is well above A6 competition and confirms real ability. Three wins from eight course and distance runs at Dunstall 480m gives an impressive 37% win rate at this exact combination. Trainer win rate of 30% adds the final stamp — handlers who win nearly one in three do not enter dogs without expectation. The composite leader in this race (46). Trap 5 wins 17.99% at A6, broadly average. The condition data (condStack, condWeighted, condElite) all point to this runner, and the combination of improving form, trainer intent, and course-and-distance record make a convincing case. The selection.
Dominant structural trap (25.42%) and capable of a big run. Main danger based on trap advantage and last race ability.
Best C&D win rate at this combination but speed deficit. Competitive without being the selection.
Speed co-leader but below-average trap and inconsistent form with a notable P23 dip. Speed advantage partially offset.
Speed co-leader but trap 3 structural death at A6. Models point here but the structural data overrides.
Nine course and distance runs without winning. Modest form and below-average trap. Hard to support.
Speed rank 1 wins 25.99% from 177 runs — the strongest predictor at A6, but both speed co-leaders (T3, T2) are in poor structural traps. Trap 6 dominates at 25.42% from 118 runs. Composite rank 1 is near random (18.6%) — do not rely on composite at A6. Trap 3 is structural death (11.48%).
T1:18.57% T2:14.73% T3:11.48% T4:16.94% T5:17.99% T6:25.42%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mercia Stiorra | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Limekiln Pam | 51 | 54 | All-Rounder |
3De Girl Sootie | 68 | 0 | Fader |
4Bower Bliss | 49 | 46 | All-Rounder |
5Tinnaban Taylor | 58 | 0 | Fader |
6Grey Dove | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 275m | 480m | 525m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercia Stiorra | — | — | 0.618 | — | 0.630 |
| 2 | Limekiln Pam | 0.617 | — | 0.611 | — | — |
| 3 | De Girl Sootie | — | — | 0.614 | — | — |
| 4 | Bower Bliss | — | — | 0.615 | 0.552 | — |
| 5 | Tinnaban Taylor | — | 0.636 | 0.620 | 0.573 | — |
| 6 | Grey Dove | — | — | 0.613 | — | 0.627 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.