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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skeard Tomd 4y 16 | J G Hurst — 17% R266 W46 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 20 (3) | 27 (2) | 22 (4) | 28 (1) | 20 (2) | 19 (3) | 24 (4) | 29 (2) | 21 (1) | - | 30 | 29 | 33 | 31 | 22 | 26 | 3 | 5/6F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hazelgrove Parisb 3y 5 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 18 (5) | 19 (5) | 22 (3) | 17 (6) | 18 (6) | 20 (4) | 21 (4) | 18 (5) | 14 (5) | 17 (6) | 34 | 30 | 20 | 31 | 19 | 25 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Vancouver Dougd 5y 24 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 11 (6) | 22 (4) | 18 (3) | 17 (5) | 27 (6) | 28 (2) | 22 (1) | 16 (2) | 23 (5) | - | 35 | 30 | 16 | 25 | 19 | 25 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mustang Lucad 5y 26 | J Robinson — 18% R298 W54 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 56 | 48 (2) | 20 (4) | 31 (4) | 41 (4) | 43 (2) | 30 (1) | 24 (2) | 15 (6) | 26 (2) | 53 (2) | 34 | 29 | 29 | 38 | 21 | 27 | 1 | 9/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Jaxleg Jessb 5y 15 | B Heaton — 16% R200 W31 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 23 (3) | 15 (6) | 21 (4) | 22 (3) | 19 (5) | 18 (6) | 17 (6) | 18 (5) | 28 (1) | 12 (6) | 27 | 26 | 23 | 27 | 22 | 24 | 6 | 11/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Canal View Blued 4y 15 | B Heaton — 16% R200 W31 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 44 | 20 (5) | 23 (2) | 23 (2) | 20 (3) | 19 (4) | 19 (4) | 19 (5) | 27 (1) | 19 (5) | 28 (1) | 28 | 30 | 19 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
Mustang Luca is the only confirmed front runner in this field, and on Kinsley's sprint trip where the downhill first bend favours fast starters, that pace advantage is significant. His form figures are inconsistent — a fifth last time was poor — but the front-running credentials are the decisive factor in a field where nobody else has a defined pace profile. His distance suitability of 38 is the best in the race, and the trap 4 draw has a decent 19.1% strike rate. In a bottom-grade sprint where the data says ratings are essentially random, the dog who leads from the traps has the best chance of staying there. A speculative pick based entirely on pace profile.
Marginal quality edge in a weak field — the main danger to the pace pick.
The most consistent dog but hasn't been winning — forecast player rather than pick.
Best draw in the race but form is dreadful — the trap could carry her to a place but winning seems unlikely.
Moderate quality with a below-par draw — others preferred.
Very poor suitability and erratic form — can't be fancied despite the occasional win.
T2 is massively dominant at 25% from 184 runs — the strongest trap signal on the card. LOW separation with R2 actually outperforming R1. Bottom-grade sprint — chaos expected.
T1:17.54% T2:25.00% T3:15.38% T4:19.10% T5:15.96% T6:18.59%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skeard Tom | 0.641 | — |
| 2 | Hazelgrove Paris | 0.648 | — |
| 3 | Vancouver Doug | 0.647 | — |
| 4 | Mustang Luca | 0.639 | 0.640 |
| 5 | Jaxleg Jess | 0.649 | — |
| 6 | Canal View Blue | 0.645 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.