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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Untold Flokib 1y 16 | D Blackbird — 17% R1081 W181 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 50 | 45 (6) | 47 (2) | 52 (3) | 70 (1) | 37 (3) | 44 (2) | 42 (2) | - | - | - | 21 | 42 | - | 42 | 50 | 45 | 3 | 8/11F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Nickos Hunterd 1y 25 | D Blackbird — 17% R1081 W181 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | 30 | 57 | 25 (2) | 24 (2) | 19 (3) | 45 (4) | 43 (3) | 29 (6) | 34 (3) | - | - | - | 32 | 27 | - | 14 | 31 | 29 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Kilmaloo Stillyd 1y 17 | P Miller — 17% R497 W86 P255 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 55 | 49 (1) | 41 (3) | 25 (5) | 37 (3) | 26 (5) | 30 (5) | 30 (5) | 45 (4) | 31 (6) | 43 (4) | 5 | 13 | - | 8 | 38 | 28 | 4 | 10/3 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Vinegarhill Spyb 4y 15 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R529 W88 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | 59 | 34 | 37 (5) | 56 (1) | 42 (3) | 40 (5) | 56 (1) | 45 (3) | 49 (3) | 41 (4) | 45 (2) | 38 (5) | 27 | 22 | 34 | 20 | 46 | 38 | 2 | 7/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Marinas Macaub 3y 7 | G Strike — 19% R409 W78 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 50 | 54 (2) | 59 (1) | 52 (1) | 44 (2) | 31 (5) | 42 (3) | 35 (2) | 50 (6) | 45 (2) | - | 34 | 39 | 43 | 32 | 45 | 42 | 1 | 10/1 | ||
Marinas Macau is the prediction based on her combined suitability profile and class suitability of 43, which is the best in the field. She was badly bumped at the first bend last time and finished tailed off, but before that she won a trial from this very trap and placed second at A7 with a strong closing run. A Closer with good finishing speed who should benefit from the Faders weakening in the closing stages. Trap 6 has a 17.3% win rate — close to expected. This is very much a speculative pick in a race where any of four dogs could win.
Classiest dog in the field with a recent win — the clear danger in a race with no model separation.
Best trap but weakest ability — will lead early then fade badly.
Will lead early but suitability scores say she simply doesnt perform in these conditions — likely to weaken.
Best closing speed in the field and good speed figures — could finish over the top if the Faders weaken.
VERY LOW SEPARATION — composite rank 1 at 20.8% vs rank 3 at 19.5%, just 1.3pp gap. Trap distribution is flat with T3 and T4 marginally best. This is as close to random as the model gets.
T1:15.2% T2:16.3% T3:19.8% T4:19.8% T5:17.5% T6:17.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Untold Floki | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Nickos Hunter | 59 | 14 | Fader |
4Kilmaloo Stilly | 72 | 0 | Fader |
5Vinegarhill Spy | 37 | 95 | Closer |
6Marinas Macau | 49 | 71 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.