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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Miss Eskeb 4y 25 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | - | 22 (3) | 17 (6) | 24 (5) | 18 (2) | 22 (6) | 28 (5) | 23 (2) | 31 (3) | 21 (1) | - | 37 | 33 | 28 | 32 | 23 | 28 | 3 | 6/4F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Crokers Maryb 2y 4 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 52 | 19 (4) | 60 (1) | 50 (2) | 41 (2) | 45 (3) | 15 (6) | 39 (4) | 21 (4) | 18 (4) | 65 (1) | 6 | 36 | 36 | 23 | 34 | 27 | 2 | 7/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Tagalong Jessb 3y 6 | D S Davy — 22% R413 W89 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 12 (6) | 18 (6) | 16 (5) | 15 (6) | 20 (3) | 25 (3) | 66 (1) | 20 (3) | 27 (2) | 17 (6) | 30 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 4 | 5/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Playdate Jasperd 2y 5 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | - | 25 (3) | 64 (1) | 20 (4) | 24 (2) | 18 (5) | 28 (2) | 47 (3) | 15 (5) | 15 (5) | - | 3 | 37 | - | 37 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 6/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Runaway Mayb 4y 24 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | - | 17 (6) | 10 (6) | 23 (3) | 14 (6) | 20 (4) | 19 (5) | 20 (4) | 20 (4) | 19 (5) | 22 (4) | 44 | 29 | 34 | 31 | 19 | 27 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Milltown Pegb 4y 27 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1131 W159 P550 Trainer form — last 3 months | 59 | 48 | 33 (1) | 20 (6) | 15 (3) | 21 (5) | 34 (1) | 26 (3) | 25 (4) | 22 (5) | 16 (6) | 66 (1) | 40 | 25 | - | 25 | 38 | 36 | 1 | 7/4 | ||
Dead trap 6 (12.95%, 146 runs) is significant structural disadvantage — nearly 10pp below expected rate. Form shows 38→38→38 consistency at modest level with zero upward trajectory. Composite score 36 is fourth-best but in a weak D5 field this represents modest elevation. Early pace 41 is below-par for a sprinter requiring immediate impact. Trap suitability 40 is moderate, indicating she's managed success from this draw previously. She relies entirely on trap position and pace timing; zero form momentum exists. Speculative pick appropriate given structural headwind and weak form foundation.
Rail position cannot overcome poor early pace at decisive distance.
Severely outclassed across all metrics; avoid entirely.
Poor early pace and below-average form create weak competitive case.
Weak early pace and modest form provide limited competitive prospects.
Dominant trap advantage undermined by weak trap suitability and modest form.
Rank 1 composite dogs win 26.98% from 404 runs — 9.44pp above rank 3. Separation appears strong but at D5 grade with volatile, lower-class field, this rating advantage is less predictive than at elite grades. Trap 2 is dominant at 22.36%; trap 6 is dead at 12.95%. At 260m sprint, trap position and early pace override ratings.
T1: 16.48% | T2: 22.36% | T3: 16.99% | T4: 14.29% | T5: 16.93% | T6: 12.95%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.