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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Two Slip Jigsd 4y 24 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 42 (1) | 31 (3) | 34 (4) | 39 (2) | 32 (3) | 34 (3) | 61 (5) | 87 (2) | 46 (1) | 38 (2) | 70 | 59 | 50 | 57 | 38 | 46 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Gundyd 2y 27 | C R Morris — 28% R250 W71 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 48 | 53 (5) | 93 (1) | 72 (3) | 93 (1) | 74 (2) | 78 (2) | 94 (1) | 100 (1) | 46 (1) | 75 (3) | 59 | 60 | 30 | 50 | 69 | 65 | 2 | 2/1F | |
| 3 | ▶ Cassandras Girlb 3y 15 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 48 | 78 (3) | 61 (3) | 84 (2) | 56 (4) | 90 (1) | 42 (2) | 41 (2) | 91 (1) | 74 (3) | 63 (3) | 71 | 58 | 31 | 38 | 62 | 60 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Carrigoon Nellb 2y 18 | K J Cobbold — 24% R152 W36 P97 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 67 | 68 (2) | 39 (2) | 38 (3) | 39 (2) | 30 (4) | 46 (1) | 48 (5) | 47 (5) | 47 (1) | 44 (6) | 41 | 42 | 50 | 70 | 49 | 50 | 1 | 9/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Snow Patrold 3y 36 | I J Barnard — 23% R262 W59 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 54 | 94 (1) | 76 (3) | 79 (2) | 33 (4) | 33 (3) | 41 (1) | 52 (5) | 65 (5) | 88 (2) | 58 (5) | 62 | 49 | - | 48 | 54 | 54 | 4 | 6/1 | |
Carrigoon Nell is projected to win on the strength of her outstanding early pace and sprint-suited profile. Over 277m, her ability to break fast and make the running is the single most important attribute, and her pace figures are the best in the field by a clear margin. Drawn in trap 4 at 22.7%, which is one of the strongest positions at D1 277m. Her distance suitability of 70 is comfortably the best in the race, confirming a strong sprint record. The concern is her average ability — at just 49, she's well below Gundy's 69, and her form has been inconsistent with two poor efforts in her last five. But in a sprint, early speed wins races, and she has more of it than anyone here. If she breaks well and leads into the first bend, the trip may be too short for anyone to catch her.
Clear class edge but closing style is risky at 277m — the main danger.
Loves the rail draw but faces a significant class gap at D1 level.
Strong individual trap record defies the dead draw — a dark horse.
Rising through the grades but dead trap is a severe structural headwind.
Inside and middle traps dominate. T3 and T6 are dead. T4 where the pick is drawn wins 22.7% — strong structural position for a sprint. Small-ish sample of 115 runs but patterns are consistent.
T1:24.1% T2:20.0% T3:10.5% T4:22.7% T5:23.5% T6:7.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.