| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Natalieb 3y 6 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 61 | 59 (3) | 63 (3) | 57 (3) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 58 (3) | 57 (2) | 45 (5) | 46 (3) | 25 (4) | 29 | 33 | 37 | 31 | 43 | 39 | 2 | 11/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Harlequin Eugened 3y 5 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 46 | 32 (5) | 42 (4) | 37 (4) | 39 (5) | 48 (2) | 18 (3) | 11 (6) | 50 (2) | 41 (3) | 40 (5) | 35 | 34 | 30 | 34 | 46 | 42 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Rathorpe Ogieb 2y 7 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 55 | 49 (5) | 36 (3) | 41 (4) | 44 (4) | 39 (4) | 58 (5) | 42 (1) | 51 (4) | - | - | 52 | 58 | - | 41 | 46 | 48 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Good Queenb 3y 16 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 52 | 34 (6) | 28 (4) | 39 (1) | 27 (5) | 44 (4) | 32 (6) | 36 (5) | 47 (4) | 27 (2) | 34 (5) | 20 | 26 | - | 35 | 34 | 32 | 5 | 5/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Silver Threadb 3yN/R 24 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 43 | 45 (2) | 67 (3) | 33 (4) | 21 (4) | 43 (4) | 34 (4) | 45 (5) | 55 (1) | 44 (2) | 35 (5) | 14 | 28 | 21 | 25 | 45 | 37 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lemon Euniceb 3y 7 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 45 | 53 (3) | 45 (4) | 48 (5) | 44 (5) | 46 (4) | 60 (1) | 18 (2) | 43 (4) | 44 (3) | 49 (4) | 26 | 30 | 18 | 31 | 47 | 41 | 4 | 3/1 | |
Rathorpe Ogie is drawn in the dominant box at A7 462m — trap 3 wins a remarkable 26.9% of the time from 130 runs, more than 10 percentage points above expected. His individual trap suitability of 52 confirms he handles this position well, and his track suitability of 58 is the best in the field. He won well three starts back with a 58-rated effort and has been competitive since. As a fader with decent early pace, he'll be prominent early, and while leaders often get caught at Yarmouth, the structural advantage of this draw partially offsets that risk. In a low-separation race where no dog stands out on ability, the dominant trap becomes the decisive factor.
Best ability from a fair draw with a closing kick suited to the venue.
Quick early but will fade on the straight — hard to back with confidence.
Structural draw and closing style give him a chance in a weak race.
Weakest on ability with poor venue credentials — hard to see winning.
Weakest draw and poor venue form make her a tough sell despite the closing style.
LOW SEPARATION — R1 23.1% vs R3 19.4% (gap 3.7pp). Model rankings are near-random at A7 grade. T3 is strongly dominant at 26.9% from 130 runs — the pick from this box has the best structural position. Trap bias should lead analysis over ratings.
T1:18.8% T2:22.1% T3:26.9% T4:21.3% T5:17.6% T6:21.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Droopys Natalie | 68 | 41 | Fader |
2Harlequin Eugene | 46 | 58 | Closer |
3Rathorpe Ogie | 58 | 35 | Fader |
4Good Queen | 53 | 45 | All-Rounder |
5Silver Thread | 43 | 58 | Closer |
6Lemon Eunice | 47 | 55 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.