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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dayinthebogd 3y 22 | J Waugh — 0% R4 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 44 | 42 (6) | 77 (1) | 31 (3) | 46 (6) | 60 (4) | 53 (5) | 56 (5) | 70 (2) | 82 (1) | 52 (6) | 59 | 55 | - | 36 | 66 | 60 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Womanb 3y 5 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 42 | 75 (1) | 50 (4) | 60 (3) | 46 (4) | 63 (2) | 53 (4) | 75 (1) | 24 (5) | 74 (1) | 64 (3) | 37 | 35 | - | 34 | 57 | 47 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Deelish Honeyb 2y 18 | J G Hurst — 18% R267 W48 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 47 | 38 (6) | 45 (5) | 54 (4) | 76 (1) | 62 (2) | 59 (3) | 58 (4) | 56 (3) | 52 (5) | 61 (2) | 26 | 54 | 18 | 58 | 64 | 54 | 1 | 11/4JF | |
| 4 | ▶ Nellys Promiseb 3y 26 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 52 | 41 (6) | 45 (6) | 45 (6) | 41 (6) | 29 (5) | 71 (2) | 48 (5) | 57 (4) | 49 (4) | 53 (5) | 34 | 33 | 20 | 31 | 58 | 47 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Lundhill Alfied 3y 25 | S Oakes — 15% R27 W4 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 57 | 64 (2) | 31 (3) | 67 (2) | 76 (1) | 57 (4) | 60 (3) | 48 (5) | 60 (4) | 45 (5) | 49 (4) | 31 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 55 | 44 | 6 | 11/4JF | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Qayd 3y 8 | J G Hurst — 18% R267 W48 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 53 | 74 (1) | 58 (4) | 57 (3) | 55 (5) | 52 (4) | 62 (3) | 62 (3) | 64 (3) | 56 (3) | 68 (2) | 35 | 36 | 28 | 34 | 57 | 47 | 4 | 10/3 | |
The complete package at Kinsley 462m A4: draws the best trap (T3: 22.35% — the dominant draw at this specific grade), shares the field's highest speed rating at 53, and brings a course and distance record that borders on extraordinary — 3 wins and 7 places from 10 starts, meaning 10 out of 10 runs finishing in the top two. That's not just consistency, it's mastery of this exact track, distance, and grade combination. Distance suitability of 58 is the field's highest. Average performance of 64 ranks second, just 2 points behind the leader, and the Closer profile (ep44/cs58) is the right pace shape for 462m where the downhill gradient creates early pace that fades through bends 3-4. Recent form from A4-A6 shows honest graded competition with no trial contamination. When the best trap at this grade aligns with shared Speed R1, near-best performance, perfect C&D form, and the ideal pace profile — this is as strong as a Kinsley pick gets.
Perf R1 but T1 collapses at A4 Kinsley — the danger only if the grade-specific bias fails
Rising grader but lowest speed and large perf gap make winning unlikely at A4
Good speed and bend but moderate draw and perf mean this is a place contender
Will lead early down the gradient but Fader profile and poor draw = caught late
Moderate profile with poor draw and weak C&D record — unlikely to feature
T3 dominates at A4 while T1 collapses to 12%. Composite broken (R2>R1). Grade-specific trap quirk is decisive.
T1:11.82% T2:17.65% T3:22.35% T4:16.84% T5:14.44% T6:14.81%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Dayinthebog | 49 | 59 | Closer |
2Swift Woman | 42 | 56 | Closer |
3Deelish Honey | 44 | 58 | Closer |
4Nellys Promise | 51 | 44 | All-Rounder |
5Lundhill Alfie | 64 | 15 | Fader |
6Swift Qay | 54 | 32 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.