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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Norristown Hydrob 1y 27 | W M Lyons — 19% R1033 W201 P555 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 61 (2) | 32 (6) | 43 (1) | 36 (2) | 38 (1) | 48 (5) | 70 (1) | 69 (1) | 51 (4) | 31 (6) | 33 | 53 | - | 53 | 72 | 59 | 2 | 11/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Da Boy Frankd 4y 17 | J S Atkins — 14% R288 W39 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 100 | 36 (2) | 42 (1) | 36 (2) | 30 (4) | 42 (1) | 34 (3) | 34 (5) | 39 (1) | 29 (5) | 50 (6) | 54 | 70 | 25 | 70 | 71 | 67 | 3 | 5/2JF | ||
| 3 | ▶ Hayleys Sparkb 3y 26 | D Cooper — 19% R72 W14 P37 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 43 | 71 (1) | 42 (5) | 32 (6) | 19 (1) | 23 (6) | 59 (6) | 59 (3) | 26 (4) | 31 (5) | - | 41 | 33 | 14 | 46 | 56 | 49 | 4 | 9/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Norristown Mayb 2y 18 | W M Lyons — 19% R1033 W201 P555 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 37 (1) | 27 (4) | 44 (2) | 54 (4) | 59 (3) | 63 (2) | 54 (1) | 48 (2) | 49 (4) | - | 35 | 28 | - | 28 | 64 | 49 | 5 | 5/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Step The Beatb 3y 46 | W M Lyons — 19% R1033 W201 P555 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | - | 37 (6) | 61 (4) | 65 (3) | 73 (2) | 80 (1) | 56 (5) | 71 (2) | 46 (5) | 75 (1) | 31 (3) | 4 | 34 | - | 34 | 65 | 44 | 6 | 10/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Glenvale Daved 4y 16 | D Cooper — 19% R72 W14 P37 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 50 | 34 (3) | 32 (3) | 27 (6) | 25 (6) | 29 (5) | 42 (1) | 32 (4) | 38 (1) | 31 (3) | 28 (4) | 43 | 40 | 23 | 47 | 59 | 52 | 1 | 5/2JF | ||
The analytical case rests on three pillars: the best trap at D3 (T6: 20.62%), the joint-highest speed rating at 53, and — crucially — the most credible graded form in the field. Recent runs include A3 and A4 racing, which are significantly higher grades than this D3, meaning a genuine class drop that adds substance to the numbers. While 2 of the last 5 runs are trials, the remaining graded form from A3/A4/D3 is the cleanest in this heavily contaminated field. Course and distance form of 2 wins from 3 starts is productive from a small sample. Distance suitability of 47 is solid. The Closer profile (cs61) is theoretically irrelevant at 268m — the trip is too short for closing speed to matter — but the speed rating is the objective time-based metric that confirms genuine pace. When every other contender has 3-4 trial runs polluting their form, the dog with higher-grade experience and the best structural draw becomes the safest analytical pick.
ap72/sr53 but 3/4 trials — danger on raw speed if form translates
Impressive headlines but 4/5 trials = completely unproven at D3 — too much risk
Strong C&D placing but T3 structural elimination overrides — cannot be backed
Trial contamination, moderate speed, poor draw — not competitive
Low speed, sTr 4 catastrophic, trial contamination — cannot be backed
T6 dominates, T3 dead. Trial contamination extreme across entire field.
T6:20.62% T2:18.61% T1:17.31% T5:16.32% T4:15.19% T3:12.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.