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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lady Caseb 2y 28 | - | 89 | 56 | - | 80 (1) | 51 (6) | 63 (3) | 63 (4) | 75 (1) | 51 (5) | 60 (3) | 62 (2) | 61 (4) | 75 (1) | 10 | 25 | 11 | 33 | 65 | 48 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Torn Apartb 2y 14 | Padraig Regan — 15% R13 W2 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | 92 | 47 | - | 56 (5) | 66 (2) | 78 (1) | 66 (2) | 56 (3) | 78 (1) | 62 (4) | 67 (3) | 67 (2) | 51 (5) | 2 | 40 | 24 | 42 | 65 | 47 | 5 | 15/8f | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Muingwee Jennyb 2y 25 | - | 69 | 40 | - | 68 (6) | 48 (2) | 58 (5) | 64 (4) | 49 (1) | 47 (4) | 52 (4) | 45 (3) | 48 (2) | - | 15 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 55 | 29 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Denville Aoifeb 2y 7 | - | 77 | 50 | - | 63 (2) | 61 (2) | 47 (6) | 78 (6) | 56 (1) | 52 (4) | 79 (5) | 54 (1) | 62 (5) | - | 39 | 34 | 38 | 37 | 61 | 49 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hellroad My Oned 2y 14 | - | 98 | 50 | - | 67 (3) | 80 (1) | 69 (1) | 57 (3) | 53 (2) | 53 (3) | 54 (4) | 50 (4) | 42 (4) | 74 (2) | 25 | 21 | 4 | 32 | 63 | 41 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Purmac Welderd 2y 43 | James O'Rourke — 10% R10 W1 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | 69 | 51 | - | 56 (6) | 47 (5) | 65 (5) | 40 (1) | 41 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | - | 24 | 51 | 20 | 4 | 11/2 | - | |
Holds the highest speed rating in the field and the strongest course and distance record — three wins from ten runs here, a 30% strike rate that is the best of any runner in today's A4 field. Won last time out at A5 with a performance rated 80, which is the best single-race figure produced by any runner in this race in recent form. Moving up from A5 to A4 today but the quality of that last win suggests she is capable of handling the rise in grade. Trap 1 is the structural disadvantage — the weakest draw at A4 here winning just over 12% — but at 525 metres the staying nature of the trip gives speed and ability more time to tell. The combination of top speed, best course record, and an outstanding last run makes her the most credible selection despite the draw concern.
DANGER: Best trap, tied-highest average performance, consistent C&D placer. Structural advantages are real. The main threat to the selection.
Lowest speed and one C&D win. Poor recent form and weak trap. Unlikely to feature.
Two C&D wins, decent speed, competitive average. Could place but faces stronger candidates today.
Won at A5 with a P80 and has C&D form. Speed rank 3 and below-average trap limit the case compared to the top two.
Second-best speed but very limited C&D evidence and last run was at a different distance. Speculative.
Speed rank 1 wins 21.9% at A4. Trap 2 best (17.68%), trap 1 worst (12.10%) from 1,017 runs. At 525 metres draw bias is less extreme than shorter trips — speed and form carry more weight.
T1:12.10% T2:17.68% T3:12.79% T4:11.90% T5:12.21% T6:14.97%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | 550m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Case | — | 0.565 | — | — |
| 2 | Torn Apart | — | 0.566 | — | — |
| 3 | Muingwee Jenny | — | 0.572 | — | — |
| 4 | Denville Aoife | — | 0.567 | — | — |
| 5 | Hellroad My One | — | 0.568 | — | — |
| 6 | Purmac Welder | 0.573 | 0.563 | 0.566 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.