Talking Dogs Podcast 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Coolemore Tomd 1y 4 | James O'Rourke — 10% R10 W1 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | 79 | 54 | - | 70 (3) | 60 (1) | 39 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | 15 | - | 24 | 58 | 48 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Time To Changed 4y 23 | - | 77 | 34 | - | 51 (6) | 37 (6) | 76 (1) | 67 (1) | 50 (2) | 45 (4) | 49 (4) | 52 (2) | 49 (4) | 54 (3) | 11 | 21 | - | 32 | 53 | 29 | 6 | 11/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Steeple Rd Rhysd 2y 14 | - | 101 | 54 | - | 89 (1) | 66 (3) | 80 (2) | 83 (1) | 80 (1) | 61 (4) | 54 (6) | 71 (3) | 58 (3) | 74 (3) | 30 | 30 | 12 | 44 | 74 | 55 | 1 | 11/8f | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kins Landingd 2y 14 | - | 79 | 39 | - | 57 (5) | 51 (6) | 80 (1) | 63 (3) | 74 (1) | 46 (5) | 59 (3) | 61 (3) | 50 (5) | 45 (6) | 23 | 22 | - | 23 | 60 | 41 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Headleys Ronnied 1y 33 | - | 76 | 52 | - | 54 (5) | 72 (3) | 36 (6) | 88 (1) | 76 (3) | 61 (5) | 80 (1) | 51 (2) | 54 (2) | 51 (2) | - | 25 | 17 | 32 | 63 | 43 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Baltovin Royalb 1y 25 | - | 110 | 50 | - | 84 (1) | 76 (2) | 82 (1) | 71 (2) | 57 (5) | 64 (1) | 54 (3) | 38 (6) | - | - | 46 | 41 | - | 59 | 71 | 41 | 4 | 15/8f | - | |
Four major factors converge on Steeple Rd Rhys to make this the strongest selection on today's Tralee card. First, the highest average performance in the field at 74, which is the foundational quality indicator. Second, a speed rating of 54 tying as the field's top mark — speed rank 1 wins 22.46% of A3 races here. Third, a course and distance record of three wins from ten starts at 30% — a sustained winning record at exactly this venue, distance, and grade, with consistent placing on top of that. Fourth, today's draw is trap 3, which is the best structural position at A3 Tralee, winning 16.18% of races. On top of all that, the most recent race was a win at A3 here with a performance of 89 — the freshest evidence of exactly the form required. When the highest average performance, tied speed rank 1, best trap position, 30% C&D win rate, and a recent A3 win here all point to the same dog, the case is overwhelming. This is a Strong selection.
DANGER: 33% C&D win rate and second-highest average performance. Quality A3 dog who can win this. The only credible challenger to the selection on proven C&D form.
Speed rank 1 tied but in the worst trap at A3. Structurally disadvantaged despite the speed number.
Lowest speed rating and performance in the field. Trap position the only positive. Very hard to recommend.
Below-average speed and trap position. Lacks the key signals to compete with the top dogs in this race.
Genuine A3 quality with C&D wins and decent speed. Strong race-to-race contender but outgunned by the selection today across all key dimensions.
Speed rank 1 wins 22.46% at A3 Tralee. Trap 3 dominant (16.18%), trap 1 weakest (10.59%). 1,055 runs of data. Composite model provides modest signal at A3 compared to speed. Trap 3 + speed rank 1 + strong C&D record is the optimal combination.
T1:10.59% T2:13.65% T3:16.18% T4:12.65% T5:13.65% T6:13.27%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | 550m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coolemore Tom | — | 0.565 | — | — |
| 2 | Time To Change | — | 0.570 | 0.566 | — |
| 3 | Steeple Rd Rhys | — | 0.560 | — | — |
| 4 | Kins Landing | — | 0.566 | — | — |
| 5 | Headleys Ronnie | — | 0.563 | 0.582 | 0.578 |
| 6 | Baltovin Royal | 0.557 | 0.565 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.