| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sawpit Smokeyd 6y 33 | D A Hunt — 7% R44 W3 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | 40 | 42 (5) | 27 (2) | 23 (2) | 22 (3) | 16 (4) | 27 (2) | 37 (4) | 23 (3) | 38 (4) | - | 26 | 26 | 11 | - | 31 | 25 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hawkfield Jackieb 2y 27 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1231 W176 P616 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 88 | - | 39 (1) | 29 (4) | 33 (4) | 25 (6) | 38 (1) | 33 (2) | 80 (3) | 29 (4) | 33 (1) | 19 (6) | 34 | 29 | - | - | 80 | 64 | 4 | 4/9F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Scotrath Buckb 3y 16 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1231 W176 P616 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 32 (1) | 19 (5) | 26 (3) | 21 (4) | 31 (1) | 21 (5) | 21 (4) | 24 (3) | 31 (1) | 25 (3) | 16 | 28 | - | - | - | 45 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Breffni Tinab 2y 24 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1231 W176 P616 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 26 | - | 16 (5) | 20 (6) | 19 (4) | 20 (5) | 25 (2) | 16 (6) | 30 (1) | 16 (5) | 24 (1) | 21 (4) | 27 | 22 | - | - | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Faradays Larryd 2y 25 | C Darch — 23% R388 W88 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 60 | 27 (3) | 31 (1) | 19 (6) | 55 (4) | 67 (1) | 20 (5) | 30 (1) | 25 (3) | 22 (6) | - | 25 | 29 | 17 | 19 | 61 | 37 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
The only dog in this race with proven form at A6 460 metres. Five races ago he won here at A6 over 460 metres with a strong performance, and the run before that saw him finish fourth at A5 460m — so the distance and grade are clearly within his compass. He subsequently dropped to 260-metre sprints, where recent runs of 27, 31, and 19 look modest, but those performances do not capture his true ability at the staying trip. His performance average of 61 at this track and distance reflects genuine quality at this level. He is a closer which is a structural concern on a tight circuit where passing lanes are scarce, but trap 5 at A6 460m is the best draw in the field at 24% from 154 runs — the structural position offsets some of the pace profile concern. With every other runner coming from 260-metre sprint form and carrying no experience at this distance, Faradays Larry is the only dog you can actually assess at A6 460 metres today. That makes him the selection by elimination as much as by merit, which is reflected in a Speculative rating.
Moderate draw, fader profile suits the track, but form and speed are weak — an each-way hope at best.
Historic numbers are eye-catching but all recent form is at 260m D2/D3. The step up in trip and grade makes this unassessable — cannot be the pick.
Won last time at a sprint but jumping considerably in both trip and grade — unproven at this distance.
No 460m experience, modest pace, weak recent form — hard to make any case here.
At A6 460m, trap 5 is the best box at 24% from 154 runs and trap 2 the worst at 14.4% from 160 runs. Composite rank 1 wins 26.8% — stronger than at shorter trips. However this race is dominated by a single factor: four runners have never raced at 460m in recent form and carry distance suitability of zero.
T1:21.2% T2:14.4% T3:16.8% T4:16.9% T5:24.0% T6:19.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Sawpit Smokey | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Hawkfield Jackie | — | — | No data |
3Scotrath Buck | — | — | No data |
4Breffni Tina | — | — | No data |
5Faradays Larry | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 260m | 450m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sawpit Smokey | 0.621 | 0.656 | 0.636 | 0.650 |
| 2 | Hawkfield Jackie | — | 0.633 | — | — |
| 3 | Scotrath Buck | — | 0.643 | — | — |
| 4 | Breffni Tina | — | 0.654 | — | — |
| 5 | Faradays Larry | — | 0.645 | — | 0.643 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.