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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Ballyroyal Rockyd 1yN/R 2 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1231 W176 P616 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 23 (4) | 23 (4) | 20 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 21 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Home Grainneb 3y 6 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1231 W176 P616 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 26 (3) | 32 (2) | 25 (5) | 27 (2) | 26 (3) | 20 (4) | 25 (3) | 22 (4) | 26 (3) | 20 (5) | 30 | 24 | 11 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 3 | 7/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Dry Morningd 4y 14 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1231 W176 P616 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 29 (1) | 24 (2) | 19 (3) | 17 (4) | 15 (6) | 16 (5) | 17 (4) | 12 (5) | 15 (6) | 26 (1) | 15 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 20 | 20 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Not To Worrieb 3y 5 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1231 W176 P616 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 29 (2) | 27 (2) | 28 (3) | 25 (3) | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 25 (2) | 28 (1) | 21 (4) | 18 (5) | 31 | 30 | 37 | 39 | 27 | 29 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Affleck Nashwand 2y 4 | C Darch — 23% R388 W88 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 30 (3) | 33 (2) | 24 (6) | 29 (4) | 27 (5) | 39 (1) | 23 (5) | 30 (3) | 30 (3) | 50 (5) | 31 | 31 | 18 | 22 | 30 | 31 | 1 | 4/7F | - | |
Good draw, solid consistent form — the main danger. The selection's speed edge and trap edge are real but this one would not be a surprise winner.
Speed R1 in best draw with improving form trend — the factors all point in the same direction and this is the clearest selection of the card.
Worst draw in the race and modest speed — difficult to support.
Average trap, lowest speed in the field — no case to make.
Below average trap and mid-field speed — no compelling angle.
Speed rank 1 wins 29.4% at Valley 260m D4 — strongest factor. Trap 6 best at 22.3% from 289 runs. Trap 3 worst at 15.8% with no T1 in race.
T2:21.4% T3:15.8% T4:17.6% T5:18.9% T6:22.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Home Grainne | 0.647 | — |
| 4 | Dry Morning | 0.662 | — |
| 5 | Not To Worrie | 0.646 | — |
| 6 | Affleck Nashwan | 0.638 | 0.639 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.