Sunday Roast Lunch at Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Roaming Jetd 4y 28 | G Strike — 20% R417 W83 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 43 | 46 (3) | 43 (4) | 40 (5) | 55 (2) | 54 (2) | 56 (3) | 38 (6) | 43 (5) | 45 (4) | 46 (5) | 23 | 22 | 14 | 15 | 47 | 35 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Charge Itb 2y 8 | D Blackbird — 17% R1098 W183 P601 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 72 | 55 (2) | 23 (1) | 58 (1) | 49 (3) | 40 (5) | 56 (1) | 42 (2) | 45 (4) | 36 (6) | - | 31 | 29 | 17 | 38 | 45 | 47 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Boozed Troubled 1y 17 | M K Bulmer — 18% R256 W47 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 48 | 53 (3) | 49 (5) | 47 (4) | 58 (2) | 65 (1) | 57 (2) | 39 (4) | - | - | - | 27 | 31 | 29 | 23 | 53 | 45 | 1 | 4/6F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Autumn Athleted 4y 28 | J A Teal — 15% R217 W32 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 55 | 48 (3) | 45 (3) | 33 (6) | 62 (1) | 50 (2) | 42 (4) | 51 (4) | 51 (4) | 46 (4) | 70 (1) | 16 | 25 | 32 | 25 | 48 | 38 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lazy Loob 1y 18 | D Blackbird — 17% R1098 W183 P601 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 56 | 56 (2) | 40 (6) | 57 (1) | 40 (4) | 50 (2) | 41 (4) | 44 (4) | 39 (6) | 45 (2) | 36 (5) | 37 | 27 | 14 | 35 | 47 | 41 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mikeyknowsbestd 3y 16 | J A Teal — 15% R217 W32 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 43 | 38 (5) | 38 (6) | 46 (5) | 64 (1) | 50 (3) | 41 (5) | 46 (5) | 45 (4) | 52 (4) | 63 (1) | 20 | 20 | 29 | 21 | 46 | 35 | 6 | 20/1 | - | |
By far the fastest dog in the field with a speed rating of 60 — ten points clear of the next-best at 50. At A7 Sunderland, speed rank 1 wins 23.4% of races, which is the strongest predictor at this grade and far more reliable than the composite. He's also composite rank 1 with a 5.4-point gap over rank 2. Drawn in the best trap at A7, with trap 3 winning 22.1% from 145 runs. When speed rank 1, composite rank 1 and the best trap all align on the same dog, this is exactly the kind of multi-factor stacking that works at Sunderland. His average performance of 53 is the highest in the field and his recent form of 53, 49, 47, 58, 65, 57 shows consistent quality — he was running at A6 level until recently and dropping to A7 should suit. One win and three places from seven course and distance starts. He's a Closer with modest early pace at 47, so he'll need Charge It to set a genuine tempo from trap 2, which should happen. Trainer Bulmer at 18%.
Outstanding early pace and bend from the second-best trap. The danger — if he holds on from the front he wins, and the draw helps him do exactly that.
Declining form, worst trap, and zero course and distance wins. Only the trainer's record offers any hope.
Decent pace but drawn in the second-worst trap. Will be involved early but the draw and Fader profile work against him.
Reliable place dog but lacks the speed to threaten the front two. Should run into the frame.
The trap 6 draw at A7 Sunderland is a death sentence at 9.4%. Impossible to back regardless of ability.
Speed R1 at 23.4% is far stronger than composite R1 at 18.9%. T3 best draw at 22.1%, T6 is near-unwinnable at 9.4% from 138 runs. Composite R3 actually outperforms R1 at A7 — the model is unreliable here.
T1:13.4% T2:21.3% T3:22.1% T4:14.8% T5:19.6% T6:9.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Roaming Jet | 48 | 57 | Closer |
2Charge It | 70 | 5 | Fader |
3Boozed Trouble | 47 | 73 | Closer |
4Autumn Athlete | 55 | 41 | Fader |
5Lazy Loo | 52 | 43 | All-Rounder |
6Mikeyknowsbest | 44 | 67 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 450m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roaming Jet | — | 0.634 | — |
| 2 | Charge It | 0.605 | 0.636 | — |
| 3 | Boozed Trouble | — | 0.629 | — |
| 4 | Autumn Athlete | — | 0.634 | — |
| 5 | Lazy Loo | — | 0.636 | 0.639 |
| 6 | Mikeyknowsbest | — | 0.633 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.