The only Front Runner in the field — and at Sunderland 261 metres, that is the profile that matters most. An early pace of 60 is the sharpest in the race, and the second-fastest speed rating at 53 means he has genuine raw ability to back up the pace. The highest average performance in the field at 29 puts him marginally ahead on form. His recent grades show A5, A6 and A7 runs over 450 metres before switching to the sprint, so he's been competing at a much higher standard — form of 46 and 46 at A7 standard is actually strong for a D4 sprint runner. Placed in his only course and distance run last time, finishing second with a 29 rating. Trap 4 wins 17.1% at D4, which is below the best traps, but his Front Runner pace should override the draw — at 261 metres, the dog that leads into the first bend usually wins, and his early pace gives him the best chance of doing exactly that.