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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Redbrick Roseb 3y 7 | J W Gaskin — 24% R308 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 59 | 47 (3) | 51 (2) | 52 (2) | 44 (3) | 38 (5) | 57 (1) | 38 (4) | 36 (5) | 48 (2) | 41 (4) | 39 | 40 | 39 | 16 | 44 | 40 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ellies Flashd 5y 35 | M Haythorne — 20% R76 W15 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 78 | 30 (5) | 28 (4) | 58 (1) | 45 (3) | 19 (5) | 63 (1) | 19 (5) | 54 (1) | 31 (5) | 30 (5) | 43 | 31 | 11 | 37 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ruffian Kimberd 1y 4 | R J Overton — 17% R325 W54 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 36 | 42 (4) | 44 (4) | 51 (2) | 47 (3) | 59 (1) | 44 (3) | 44 (3) | 35 (5) | 49 (2) | 43 (3) | 38 | 30 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 4 | 15/8 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Grouchos Emilyb 1y 4 | R J Overton — 17% R325 W54 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 41 (3) | 45 (3) | 60 (1) | 53 (2) | 52 (2) | 47 (2) | 38 (5) | 44 (3) | 42 (4) | 40 (4) | 5 | 22 | - | - | 37 | 29 | 5 | 13/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Moss Tang Sallyb 4y 25 | K Everitt — 21% R81 W17 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 50 | 35 (4) | 48 (3) | 32 (5) | 36 (5) | 49 (3) | 48 (2) | 41 (5) | 58 (1) | 35 (4) | 38 (5) | 27 | 31 | 20 | 27 | 41 | 37 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
The standout pick by structural position. Drawn in the dominant trap 3 which has recorded a 28.6% win rate from 217 runs in this grade — nearly twice the baseline expectation. Form shows a recent upturn with positions 1, 3, 5, 1, suggesting genuine class and consistency at this level. Recent wins confirm readiness. The pace data (speed 47) is moderate but trap position is the primary signal here. M Haythorne's 16% win rate is respectable. The data simply points to trap 3 delivery, and this runner profiles as the natural occupant of that advantage.
Second-best structural position (trap 6 dominance) with confirmed form and appropriate running style. A genuine danger to the trap 3 incumbent if pace allows a strong closing run.
Capable but structurally disadvantaged against the trap 3 incumbent and trap 6's closing speed. A place chance rather than a winning opportunity.
Adequate on paper but outclassed by trap 3 and trap 6 structural advantages. Form insufficient to overcome draw disadvantage.
Double structural and individual headwinds. Very poor profile. Oppose confidently.
Low composite separation (4.7 percentage points between ranks 1 and 3) indicates trap position and track suitability drive outcomes more than raw performance rating. Trap 3 has won nearly 1-in-3 races here from 217 samples — an enormous structural advantage. Trap 5 is a genuine dead draw at just 16%.
T1:20.7%(140) T2:17.0%(165) T3:28.6%(217 DOMINANT) T4:21.4%(178) T5:16.0%(206 DEAD) T6:23.3%(202 DOMINANT)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Redbrick Rose | 63 | 0 | Fader |
3Ellies Flash | 66 | 0 | Fader |
4Ruffian Kimber | 37 | 100 | Closer |
5Grouchos Emily | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Moss Tang Sally | 49 | 74 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redbrick Rose | — | 0.635 |
| 3 | Ellies Flash | 0.653 | 0.644 |
| 4 | Ruffian Kimber | — | 0.632 |
| 5 | Grouchos Emily | — | 0.633 |
| 6 | Moss Tang Sally | — | 0.638 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.