The Bogger Bob A5 Stake Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Culletons Ladd 2y 23 | - | - | 32 | - | 58 (3) | 73 (1) | 72 (1) | 66 (2) | 54 (3) | 50 (2) | 48 (6) | 46 (5) | 77 (1) | 58 (4) | 26 | 18 | 17 | 39 | 62 | 36 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Chanceme Maxd 1y 4 | - | - | 66 | - | 82 (1) | 43 (6) | 50 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 30 | 30 | 60 | 56 | 1 | 4/5 | |
| 3 | ▶ Rastafari Roryd 1y 7 | - | - | 62 | - | 75 (2) | 55 (6) | 55 (5) | 63 (3) | 71 (2) | 65 (3) | 51 (6) | 85 (1) | 51 (6) | 61 (5) | 6 | 29 | 36 | 26 | 64 | 53 | 2 | 6/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballygur Cashd 2y 6 | - | - | 53 | - | 68 (2) | 65 (2) | 64 (3) | 71 (2) | 53 (4) | 71 (2) | 57 (4) | 76 (1) | 68 (2) | 66 (2) | 30 | 43 | 30 | 41 | 66 | 52 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Chiltern Vixenb 1y 14 | Gordon Rotheram — 60% R5 W3 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | - | 58 (4) | 42 (6) | 64 (1) | 39 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | - | 20 | 51 | 35 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Almighty Elsab 3y 23 | - | - | 49 | - | 78 (1) | 66 (2) | 65 (4) | 56 (6) | 69 (2) | 77 (1) | 64 (2) | 59 (3) | 72 (2) | 66 (2) | 37 | 38 | 62 | 50 | 68 | 49 | 4 | 6/1 | |
Chanceme Max is the selection, supported by both condElite and perfHeavy models with a composite score of 56 — 3 points clear of the field. Her speed credentials are outstanding for this A5 field: speed rating of 66 and best time of 29.04 are the fastest by a clear margin, and in a 525m standard race where early pace sets the tone, a dog this much faster than her rivals has a major inherent advantage. Her form over three runs reads 82, 43, 50 — the 82-rated run is an exceptional performance for A5 level, though the subsequent 43 and 50 are worrying drops. The form volatility is the main risk. Track suitability of 30, distance suitability of 30, and class suitability of 30 confirm solid multi-dimensional Waterford affinity. From T2 she has an efficient inside-left draw. If she runs anywhere near her 82-rated peak, she will win comfortably. If she reverts to the 43-50 range, she may be vulnerable to more consistent rivals.
Most consistent form (64 avg, recent 75), solid suitability, comparable speed. Primary danger to Chanceme Max.
Best suitability profile in race (track=43, distance=41). Consistent form avg 64. Speed disadvantage vs selection. Solid danger.
Good performance ratings (65 avg) and solid suitability but speed rating 32 is a severe handicap. Cannot challenge at pace.
50% trainer win rate positive but speed rating 34 is crippling at 525m. Volatile form. Cannot threaten top three.
Outstanding distance suitability (50) and improving form (78 peak), but wide T6 draw severely limits winning prospects.
Chanceme Max has fastest speed (66, 29.04) and both condElite and perfHeavy backing. Her 82-rated peak is the best single performance in the field. Ballygur Cash has the best overall suitability profile (track=43, distance=41). Race hinges on whether Chanceme Max fires today.
Individual suitability.trap scores used as proxy
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.