The Bogger Bob A5 Stake Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hilldun Bonnieb 1y 12 | - | - | 51 | - | 61 (4) | 62 (2) | 52 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 59 | 43 | 3 | 2/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Forge Rubyb 2y 15 | - | - | 37 | - | 73 (2) | 69 (6) | 46 (1) | 49 (4) | 53 (4) | 45 (4) | 41 (5) | 29 (5) | - | - | - | 17 | 6 | 22 | 55 | 38 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Comical Dubhd 1y 4 | Philip Gough — 0% R2 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 80 (1) | 39 (4) | 46 (3) | 52 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 36 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 56 | 48 | 1 | 4/5 | |
| 4 | ▶ Yonder Tarab 2y 7 | - | - | 52 | - | 62 (3) | 52 (4) | 54 (5) | 57 (4) | 26 (5) | 57 (5) | 76 (1) | 65 (2) | 41 (5) | 63 (3) | 19 | 32 | 4 | 19 | 55 | 46 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Aughermon Patd 2y 15 | Joe Anglim — 0% R2 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 60 (3) | 39 (6) | 46 (6) | 68 (4) | 55 (5) | 75 (1) | 53 (4) | 56 (2) | 31 (6) | 37 (5) | - | - | 7 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Cant Be Stoppedb 2y 3 | - | - | 43 | - | 48 (6) | 77 (1) | 59 (4) | 53 (3) | 43 (6) | 48 (5) | 38 (4) | 49 (3) | - | - | 17 | - | 17 | 17 | 54 | 40 | 5 | 4/1 | |
Comical Dubh is the selection on the strength of her dual model backing from condElite and perfHeavy, a composite score of 48 leading the field, and an outstanding most recent run rated 80 — the best single performance in this race. Her suitability profile of track=30, distance=30, class=30 confirms solid multi-dimensional Waterford 525m affinity, making her a proven performer at this specific assignment. Speed rating of 53 and best time of 29.38 are competitive. The main concern is her volatile form profile — her four runs read 80, 39, 46, 52, meaning the 80 is dramatically better than her other performances. If she is returning to the 80-level of form, she will win comfortably. If the 80 was an outlier and she reverts to the 39-52 range, she is vulnerable. In a low-separation race, the condElite and perfHeavy models backing one dog with clear suitability credentials is the strongest available signal. Speculative confidence given the form volatility.
Most consistent performer in field. Solid track suitability. Primary danger to Comical Dubh.
Consistent A5 performer but zero suitability and modest ceiling. Mid-field.
Declining form from 73 down to 53. Weak speed (36). Difficult to back in current trajectory.
Volatile form, zero core suitability, trainer 0%. Cannot be confidently backed.
Decent track affinity and 69 peak but recent drop to 57 and slow speed. Wide draw. Secondary interest at best.
LOW SEPARATION: Top four within 8 points. Comical Dubh has dual model backing and 80-rated recent run but volatile form. Yonder Tara is more consistent. Comical Dubh's Waterford suitability (track=30, distance=30) is the tie-breaker.
Individual suitability.trap scores used as proxy
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.