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@SunderlandDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Corbrack Amigod 4y 24 | J A Teal — 13% R200 W26 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 44 | 55 (3) | 68 (2) | 66 (3) | 68 (2) | 74 (1) | 65 (2) | 65 (2) | 71 (1) | 54 (3) | 63 (3) | 32 | 28 | 17 | 45 | 66 | 43 | 4 | 6/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Tip Top Flashd 2y 16 | D Blackbird — 17% R1081 W181 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 66 | 27 (6) | 47 (5) | 68 (2) | 34 (3) | 27 (5) | 29 (4) | 40 (1) | 35 (2) | 40 (2) | 16 (5) | 37 | 41 | 32 | 39 | 39 | 46 | 1 | 7/4F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Russmur Joshd 3y 16 | S Linley — 18% R381 W68 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 43 | 58 (4) | 77 (1) | 62 (2) | 61 (2) | 49 (5) | 47 (4) | 76 (1) | 58 (2) | 58 (4) | 59 (4) | 43 | 37 | 31 | 41 | 62 | 47 | 5 | 11/4 | ||
| 4 | ▶ An Gaoithe Ruad 3y 15 | P Miller — 17% R497 W86 P255 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 53 | 38 (6) | 35 (5) | 52 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 52 | 31 | 6 | 9/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Emers Pandorab 3y 17 | D Blackbird — 17% R1081 W181 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 60 | 72 (1) | 55 (4) | 59 (3) | 73 (1) | 62 (2) | 57 (3) | 55 (4) | 61 (2) | 58 (2) | 62 (2) | 30 | 34 | 26 | 31 | 60 | 42 | 3 | 11/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Millroad Maxd 1y 26 | E Y Bell — 21% R534 W112 P301 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 48 | 75 (1) | 56 (4) | 54 (5) | 80 (1) | 65 (2) | 64 (2) | 42 (5) | - | - | - | 28 | 31 | 10 | 30 | 61 | 44 | 2 | 10/3 | ||
Tip Top Flash is selected on the combination of three stacking signals: she ranked first on sectional speed in the pre-race analysis with a figure of 60, ranked first on first-bend pace at 66, and draws from trap two — the most productive draw at A4 Sunderland, carrying a win rate of approximately 22 percent. At this track over 450 metres, early sectional pace is the most important single predictive measure, and leading that category alongside the best structural draw is a compelling case. Her composite of 46 sits just one point below Russmur Josh's 47, essentially a tie given measurement variance. The average performance figure of 39 reflects a run of D-grade sprint outings at 261 metres which are irrelevant to today's A4 450-metre trip — her last A4 run here produced a second-place finish with a speed rating of 102.6, a strong figure at this grade. Medium confidence, reflecting a genuine competitive race between her and the danger, with the structural and sectional edge giving the marginal preference.
Won at A4 six days ago with speed 101.6 — most recent winner in the race. Composite 47 is the highest in the field. Main danger on current form.
Second at A4 on 11 May; speed 100. Composite 43 third in field. Consistent at grade; trap one structural disadvantage at 450m limits win prospects.
Fourth at A4 on 8 May; speed 100.4. Composite 44, performance 61. Competitive figures but not a winning threat; outside draw a minor positive if the pace drifts.
Fourth at A4 on 10 May; speed 98.8. Composite 42, performance 60. Consistent at grade but not a winning threat on current metrics.
Fifth at A4 last Tuesday. Composite 31 is the lowest in the field by a clear margin. Speed 99.4 is decent but performance 52 is below the winning threshold here.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Corbrack Amigo | 42 | 63 | Closer |
2Tip Top Flash | 68 | 24 | Fader |
3Russmur Josh | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4An Gaoithe Rua | 55 | 40 | Fader |
5Emers Pandora | 61 | 24 | Fader |
6Millroad Max | 45 | 60 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.