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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Westforth Sammyd 2y 26 | G A Stark — 19% R297 W57 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | - | 23 (5) | 39 (2) | 28 (6) | 44 (1) | 41 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 48 | 47 | 26 | 43 | 37 | 40 | 2 | 3/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Fantastic Dearb 3yN/R 5 | G Strike — 19% R409 W78 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | - | 39 (3) | 39 (2) | 35 (4) | 35 (4) | 32 (5) | 45 (1) | 41 (1) | 31 (3) | 29 (4) | 40 (1) | 20 | 31 | 23 | 29 | 37 | 35 | - | - | ||
| 3 | ▶ Romantic Tessieb 3y 17 | S Linley — 18% R381 W68 P193 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 44 | 100 (1) | 52 (6) | 46 (1) | 47 (1) | 33 (4) | 45 (1) | 48 (6) | 90 (1) | 46 (5) | 52 (5) | 46 | 35 | 50 | 44 | 50 | 42 | 4 | 11/10F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Brynoffa Decd 3y 17 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R529 W88 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 67 | 19 (5) | 34 (2) | 35 (4) | 40 (3) | 35 (2) | 25 (6) | 45 (1) | 37 (3) | 40 (2) | 29 (4) | 44 | 33 | 23 | 27 | 36 | 37 | 3 | 5/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Millhill Graceb 3y 16 | G A Stark — 19% R297 W57 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 26 (5) | 29 (4) | 31 (5) | 32 (4) | 46 (1) | 39 (2) | 35 (3) | 27 (6) | 45 (1) | 38 (3) | 38 | 41 | 37 | 36 | 36 | 37 | 5 | 7/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Cape Questd 3y 9 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R529 W88 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 42 | 41 (1) | 28 (6) | 42 (2) | 35 (4) | 46 (1) | 29 (5) | 41 (1) | 40 (1) | 52 (5) | 76 (3) | 30 | 32 | 27 | 44 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 7/2 | ||
Three wins from her last five starts at D1 here over this exact trip — course and distance form doesn't get much better than that. T3 is the best draw at D1 over 261m (25.9% from 58 runs), and Romantic Tessie has been winning from this position repeatedly. She arrives off a disappointing sixth in an OR-grade sprint last time, which can be forgiven given the step up in class, and before that she posted back-to-back wins in D1 company. The best-performing dog in this field on average, in the best box, with proven course and distance form. Three signals align — this is as clear as it gets at a grade where the model is otherwise unreliable. An All-Rounder who travels well through the middle stages and arrives on time at the finish.
Explosive early pace from a below-average trap — pace danger to the pick.
Below-average draw, inconsistent — hard to recommend.
Speed leader in the worst box — a painful combination at a sprint.
Decent draw and some D1 form — place candidate.
Has D1 wins but inconsistent — each-way hope.
375 runs. T3 dominant (25.9%), T5 strong (20.6%), T2 the dead box (11.5%). Composite model inverted at D1 — R3 wins more than R1. Speed and trap are the primary signals here.
T1:14.3% T2:11.5% T3:25.9% T4:13.0% T5:20.6% T6:18.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.