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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tullymurry Twirlb 2y 36 | S A Saberton — 24% R360 W88 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 44 (5) | 63 (3) | 58 (4) | 47 (3) | 43 (5) | 74 (1) | 71 (1) | 51 (4) | 52 (2) | 55 (5) | 26 | 36 | - | - | 55 | 14 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ For My Sinsb 2y 6 | S A Saberton — 24% R360 W88 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 21 (4) | 26 (2) | 23 (4) | 29 (1) | 23 (2) | 22 (4) | 26 (3) | 18 (5) | 26 (2) | 21 (3) | 38 | 27 | 28 | 32 | 24 | 28 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ El Cairosd 1y 5 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 25 (3) | 29 (1) | 19 (4) | 30 (1) | 27 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 37 | 51 | 51 | 47 | 26 | 32 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Catunda Cashd 2yN/R 3 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 24 (2) | 19 (5) | 32 (5) | 18 (6) | 33 (6) | 36 (4) | 37 (5) | 28 (5) | 43 (2) | 27 (4) | 7 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 17 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Moss Row Madamb 5y 14 | P Ward — 12% R185 W22 P87 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 21 (4) | 29 (1) | 18 (4) | 28 (5) | 21 (2) | 20 (4) | 27 (4) | 21 (2) | 23 (4) | - | 42 | 29 | 25 | 28 | 23 | 27 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Little Ronab 5y 15 | P Ward — 12% R185 W22 P87 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 23 (3) | 22 (3) | 25 (2) | 24 (6) | 23 (3) | 25 (4) | 25 (4) | 22 (3) | 26 (4) | - | 39 | 36 | 18 | 12 | 24 | 27 | 3 | 13/8F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tullymurry Twirl | No recorded time at 238m — all recent form over 415m. | — | No form at trip | ||||
| 2 | For My Sins | 15.98 | 16.15 | 16.09 | 51 | +0.11 | Weak trap | |
| 3 | El Cairos | 15.99 | 16.17 | 15.99 | 52 | 0.00 | 3 wins from 5 here | |
| 4 | Catunda Cash | 16.24 | 16.31 | 16.24 | 42 | 0.00 | Fader, weak suit | |
| 5 | Moss Row Madam | 16.02 | 16.18 | 16.18 | 48 | +0.16 | Worst trap | |
| 6 | Little Rona | 15.90 | 16.01 | 16.12 | 54 | +0.22 | Best trap, 0/10 here | |
Another 238-metre sprint round Harlow's tight bend, and in this D5 grade trap 6 remains the standout draw at almost 22%, with trap 5 the weakest at under 15%. Tullymurry Twirl drops sharply in trip and grade from 415-metre A6 company and has no recorded form at this distance at all, so her big raw average should be treated with real suspicion. El Cairos looks the one with the strongest genuine case at this trip having already won three of her last five starts over course and distance here. Little Rona gets the plum draw and has decent pace but has failed to convert in ten attempts at this exact combination, so the trap alone isn't enough to make her the pick.
The strongest genuine case in this field — three wins from her last five starts over this exact course and distance, a serious positive signal. Third last time out, with a win in the runs before that, and she carries the best suitability figures of any runner here for trap, class, track and distance alike. Drawn in trap 3, the second-best box in this grade at just over 20%, and her recorded times are competitive with the best in the race. Everything stacks the same way.
Gets the best draw in the race — trap 6 wins almost 22% at this grade — and she carries the second-fastest recorded time in the field. But she's tried this exact course and distance combination ten times without landing a win, which tempers the appeal of the draw somewhat. Third last time out with fairly steady form around her. The pace and the box make her the biggest threat to the selection.
Comes right down in class and distance from 415-metre A6 grade races, where her average looks strong on paper, but none of that form has come at this trip and her suitability figures for both class and distance sit at zero. A big unknown rather than a confident booking — the raw numbers are misleading given the change of conditions.
Fourth last time out in this exact grade with steady if unspectacular form either side. Only one win from ten course and distance runs here, and trap 2 has been one of the weaker boxes for this grade at just over 16%. Others have stronger recent claims.
A fast-away type who tends to lose ground in the closing stages, and her suitability figures for trap, class and track are all towards the bottom of this field. Second last time out but the formline before that has been patchy. Hard to make a strong case for her at this level.
Fourth last time out and form has been fairly steady without ever threatening to win. Drawn in the weakest box for this grade at under 15%, and only one win from ten course and distance runs here despite plenty of opportunity. A modest player in this field.
Key insight: Trap 6 remains the standout draw at this D5 sprint trip, and course-and-distance form is a genuine separator when a dog has 3 or more runs here.
T1:16.5% T2:16.1% T3:20.1% T4:18.7% T5:14.6% T6:21.9%
6,813 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tullymurry Twirl | — | 0.658 | 0.643 |
| 2 | For My Sins | 0.679 | — | — |
| 3 | El Cairos | 0.679 | — | — |
| 5 | Moss Row Madam | 0.680 | — | — |
| 6 | Little Rona | 0.673 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.