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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salems Bluesb 4y 58 | D R Jinks — 16% R554 W90 P304 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 44 | 55 (2) | 30 (1) | 65 (1) | 16 (6) | 34 (5) | 14 (4) | 17 (2) | 11 (6) | 31 (1) | 52 (3) | 32 | 31 | 42 | 49 | 36 | 21 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tasmanian Devild 1y 5 | P S Rea — 15% R505 W77 P247 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 29 (1) | 20 (3) | 28 (1) | 23 (3) | 13 (5) | 15 (4) | 11 (6) | - | - | - | 28 | 25 | 33 | 31 | 22 | 25 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Kilgarran Desd 1y 15 | J D T Allen — 10% R204 W21 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 16 (6) | 18 (5) | 16 (6) | 18 (5) | 30 (1) | 25 (2) | 22 (3) | 17 (6) | 26 (2) | - | 27 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Savana Monicab 2y 5 | T J Nevin — 18% R448 W80 P218 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 24 (4) | 25 (2) | 30 (1) | 21 (6) | 18 (2) | 15 (3) | 31 (5) | 25 (1) | 20 (2) | - | 21 | 26 | 35 | 29 | 24 | 25 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tobergal Poppyb 3y 16 | D R Jinks — 16% R554 W90 P304 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 57 | 20 (5) | 20 (4) | 30 (6) | 19 (5) | 26 (2) | 18 (2) | 20 (4) | 22 (4) | 49 (3) | 53 (3) | 27 | 32 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 24 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Yo Paddyd 1y 1 | T J Nevin — 18% R448 W80 P218 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 | - | - | - | - | 4 | 2 | 2/1F | - | |
Salems Blues is the pick on the strength of two compounding advantages: class drop and distance drop together. Last ran A7 415m (P55, pos 2) — a placed run at a significantly harder grade and a much longer distance than today's D5 238m. The drop to the easiest sprint grade in a field where her avgP=36 stands alone at the top signals a class advantage that is hard to ignore. The dist suitability=49 is the best in the field and confirms deep 238m Harlow experience. Track suitability=31 and trap=32 round out the C&D comfort picture. The Closer profile (EP=34) is modest for a single-bend sprint but with the class advantage this substantial, pace profile becomes secondary.
Won D5 238m last run — recent C&D winner is the clear danger despite the lower avgP.
Poor recent D5 run (pos 5), no pace data, below-average avgP — no basis for selection.
Second-best speed figure but pos 4 last run and no pace data — insufficient to recommend.
EP=66 Fader with decent bend but worst ML trap and pos 5 last run — structural penalty and form both work against.
Best ML draw (T6, 21.68%) but no form data available — structural advantage without any underpinning metrics.
T6 leads at 21.68%, T5 worst at 14.63%. Salems Blues in T1 comes from A7 415m — a class AND distance dropper. The dist suitability=49 confirms extensive 238m Harlow experience. SpeedR1 wins 25.28% — the decisive edge for high-avgP class droppers.
T6:21.68% T1:18.11% T2:17.83% T4:17.08% T3:16.59% T5:14.63%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 253m | 415m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salems Blues | 0.677 | — | 0.666 |
| 2 | Tasmanian Devil | 0.693 | — | — |
| 3 | Kilgarran Des | 0.684 | — | — |
| 4 | Savana Monica | 0.675 | 0.631 | — |
| 5 | Tobergal Poppy | 0.680 | — | 0.672 |
| 6 | Yo Paddy | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.