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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Townsend Tonyab 2y 28 | D R Jinks — 16% R554 W90 P304 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 54 | 39 (4) | 29 (2) | 25 (3) | 29 (2) | 25 (4) | 28 (2) | 19 (3) | 21 (3) | 20 (6) | 26 (3) | 27 | 31 | - | - | 28 | 31 | 6 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Jacko Carvoeirod 3y 13 | P S Rea — 15% R505 W77 P247 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 44 | 23 (3) | 31 (1) | 44 (3) | 45 (3) | 38 (5) | 12 (5) | 18 (2) | 17 (2) | 67 (1) | 44 (5) | 20 | 25 | 24 | 13 | 33 | 44 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Savana Triggerb 2y 18 | T J Nevin — 18% R448 W80 P218 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 54 | 42 (3) | 38 (5) | 42 (5) | 41 (5) | 51 (4) | 11 (6) | 15 (4) | 13 (5) | 31 (6) | 43 (5) | 27 | - | 2 | - | 35 | 41 | 3 | 7/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Joyces Sadieb 2y 15 | J D T Allen — 10% R204 W21 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 37 | 40 (5) | 41 (4) | 38 (5) | 61 (1) | 25 (2) | 14 (5) | 47 (2) | 39 (4) | 25 (3) | - | 20 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 37 | 38 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Shortwood Allyb 4y 35 | J D T Allen — 10% R204 W21 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 25 (2) | 21 (3) | 18 (5) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | 16 (6) | 23 (3) | 23 (2) | 15 (5) | 26 (2) | 7 | 17 | - | - | 22 | 43 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Yo Ronnie Busterd 2y 11 | T J Nevin — 18% R448 W80 P218 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 59 | 63 (1) | 63 (1) | 43 (4) | 13 (5) | 53 (3) | 12 (3) | 15 (4) | 13 (5) | 41 (3) | 29 (3) | 15 | 12 | 20 | 17 | 34 | 42 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
Joyces Sadie is the pick in a difficult, uncertain race. The highest avgP at 37 — modest but the best available — and a consistent run of A7 415m form (P41 in 4th, P38 in 4th, P61 in 2nd) makes her the most reliable performer at this grade and trip. The Closer profile (EP=30) is conservative but she has the track and distance experience (trap=20, dist=17) to navigate the circuit. T4 at A7 returns 17.58% ML — moderate. In a race where none of the top contenders combine form with structure, her consistency over this exact course and grade earns a tentative selection.
Best ML trap but no Harlow 415m distance data — structural advantage without the form foundation.
Won A7 last time P63 but deeply inconsistent form (P12-P63 range) — recent winner who could equally bomb.
Switching from D4 238m to A7 415m — grade and distance increases are both significant unknowns.
No Harlow 415m data whatsoever — impossible to assess with confidence, worst ML trap adds further negative.
Lowest avgP, switching from D5 238m, second-worst trap — no case.
T1 structural leader (23.14%), T3 worst (15.90%). Joyces Sadie in T4 has the best avgP. No runner combines top form with a top draw in this weak contest.
T1:23.14% T6:20.82% T4:17.58% T2:17.13% T5:16.42% T3:15.90%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Townsend Tonya | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Jacko Carvoeiro | 50 | 100 | Closer |
3Savana Trigger | 70 | 0 | Fader |
4Joyces Sadie | 30 | 93 | Closer |
5Shortwood Ally | — | — | No data |
6Yo Ronnie Buster | 71 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 415m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (415m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 270m | 388m | 415m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Townsend Tonya | 0.665 | — | — | 0.674 | — |
| 2 | Jacko Carvoeiro | 0.670 | — | 0.633 | 0.667 | — |
| 3 | Savana Trigger | — | — | — | 0.670 | 0.623 |
| 4 | Joyces Sadie | 0.674 | — | — | 0.670 | — |
| 5 | Shortwood Ally | 0.681 | 0.623 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Yo Ronnie Buster | — | — | — | 0.675 | 0.635 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.