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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Grouchos Gailb 2y 6 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 23 (5) | 27 (4) | 24 (5) | 32 (1) | 25 (3) | 29 (2) | 21 (4) | 24 (3) | 26 (2) | 21 (5) | 24 | 23 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Jinxedd 6y 14 | W E Link — 7% R14 W1 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 24 (4) | 24 (6) | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 26 (4) | 30 (3) | 28 (5) | 31 (3) | 35 (3) | - | 14 | 27 | 17 | 13 | 27 | 26 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Devon Luckyd 2y 26 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 49 (2) | 47 (3) | 57 (1) | 43 (3) | 55 (1) | 42 (2) | 56 (1) | 45 (3) | 47 (2) | 36 (1) | 32 | 41 | 24 | 24 | 49 | 32 | 1 | 7/4JF | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Easy Guyd 1y 4 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 25 (4) | 32 (1) | 27 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 41 | 37 | 18 | 36 | 28 | 32 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rossa Twinkb 4y 15 | A L Steels — 7% R29 W2 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 39 (5) | 29 (2) | 28 (4) | 33 (4) | 46 (4) | 36 (5) | 35 (5) | 50 (3) | 44 (3) | 48 (3) | 24 | 28 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7/4JF | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grouchos Gail | 17.43 | 17.76 | 17.73 | 46 | +0.30 | best trap, no recent win | |
| 2 | Jinxed | 17.45 | 17.58 | 17.67 | 50 | +0.22 | steady, C&D win Feb | |
| 3 | Devon Lucky | 17.43 | 17.43 | 17.43 | 57 | 0.00 | class dropper, fastest | |
| 4 | Easy Guy | 17.45 | 17.56 | 17.66 | 51 | +0.21 | 3 starts only | |
| 6 | Rossa Twink | 17.57 | 17.64 | 17.71 | 46 | +0.14 | class dropper, closer |
Two big class droppers give this D3 sprint an unusual look. Devon Lucky steps down sharply from B5 grade over 450m and brings by far the fastest recorded time and best first-bend figures in this field - she fades late but that matters far less over the minimum trip. Rossa Twink drops in even further from A3 grade at 483m, though she's a confirmed closer with modest early pace, a profile that struggles to make an impact at this short trip regardless of the class edge. Trap 1 has been the strongest box in this grade at Doncaster, but Grouchos Gail hasn't been able to back it up with her recent form. Jinxed and Easy Guy look to be racing for the places.
Drops sharply in class from B5 grade over 450m into this D3 sprint, and the raw pace backs up the drop - comfortably the fastest recorded time of the six and the best first-bend figures in the field by a distance. She's a fader who is electric out of the boxes but loses ground late, a pattern far less costly over the minimum trip than it would be at a staying distance. Only one run over this course and distance, so there's an element of the unknown, but on speed and class alone she looks the one to beat.
Also drops in class, stepping down from A3 grade over the marathon 483m trip, and that experience edge is real. But she's a confirmed closer with modest early pace and a weak first-bend figure, a profile that generally struggles to make an impact at Doncaster's minimum trip. If the class tells regardless of running style she's the biggest threat, but the pace mismatch is a genuine concern.
Draws the best trap in the grade but hasn't been able to make it count, with a modest trainer strike rate and no win from ten runs over this course and distance recently. Slowest on the clock of the fancied runners. Hard to see her troubling the class droppers at the top of the market.
Steady rather than spectacular, with ten runs over this course and distance including a win back in February. Reasonable pace but nothing that stands out against the class droppers at the head of this field. Likely to be around the frame rather than winning.
Only three career starts so this is still very much a work in progress, but he's shown enough early pace to suggest more improvement is possible. Modest course and distance experience so far. Others have the stronger claims on the day's evidence.
Key insight: Trap 1 is a clear standout in D3 sprints here, winning over a quarter of the time from 234 runs, while trap 5 is the weak draw at under 18%.
T1:25.6% T2:22.9% T3:20.5% T4:21.5% T5:17.8% T6:19.1%
1,792 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | 483m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grouchos Gail | 0.646 | — | — |
| 2 | Jinxed | 0.639 | — | — |
| 3 | Devon Lucky | 0.634 | 0.638 | — |
| 4 | Easy Guy | 0.639 | — | — |
| 6 | Rossa Twink | 0.641 | 0.636 | 0.643 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.