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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Favourite Placeb 4y 16 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 36 (2) | 43 (1) | 28 (6) | 43 (1) | 39 (2) | 25 (5) | 37 (3) | 33 (4) | 38 (2) | 40 (3) | 48 | 44 | 58 | 43 | 36 | 39 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Luminous Dreamb 2y 17 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 30 (4) | 29 (3) | 42 (1) | 37 (2) | 42 (1) | 41 (1) | 40 (2) | 32 (4) | 30 (4) | 42 (1) | 47 | 53 | 45 | 47 | 36 | 37 | 5 | 11/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Kalukis Gambled 3y 16 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R311 W55 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 32 (3) | 80 (5) | 98 (4) | 82 (2) | 64 (3) | 68 (5) | 78 (4) | 90 (4) | - | - | 3 | 9 | - | 9 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Shackelton Aced 3y 9 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 91 (2) | 42 (1) | 42 (1) | 47 (1) | 47 (1) | 38 (4) | 34 (4) | 46 (1) | 40 (2) | - | 61 | 61 | 52 | 68 | 42 | 48 | 2 | 10/11F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Flosses Pradab 2yN/R 5 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 42 (1) | 28 (5) | 37 (2) | 25 (5) | 31 (4) | 30 (4) | 34 (2) | 31 (2) | 39 (1) | 28 (4) | 32 | 27 | 25 | 33 | 33 | 33 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Jazza Rooneyb 4y 17 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 72 (4) | 42 (1) | 42 (1) | 36 (2) | 33 (2) | 33 (3) | 32 (3) | 42 (1) | 42 (1) | 40 (1) | 45 | 40 | 42 | 49 | 38 | 40 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Favourite Place | 16.92 | 17.16 | 16.93 | 53 | +0.01 | steady, no standout | |
| 2 | Luminous Dream | 17.05 | 17.23 | 17.26 | 44 | +0.21 | weak trap, 4 C&D wins | |
| 3 | Kalukis Gamble | 16.86 | 17.00 | 17.17 | 53 | +0.31 | OR class hint but fader | |
| 4 | Shackelton Ace | 16.81 | 17.04 | 16.81 | 58 | 0.00 | fastest + class drop | |
| 5 | Flosses Prada | 16.97 | 17.44 | 16.97 | 46 | 0.00 | best trap, won LTO | |
| 6 | Jazza Rooney | 16.97 | 17.19 | 17.45 | 44 | +0.48 | OR class drop, win-rich form |
Two runners drop in from OR grade, the very top level, and both look overqualified for this D2 sprint. Shackelton Ace brings by far the fastest recorded time in the field along with a stack of course and distance form built largely at the tougher D1 level, including plenty of wins - trap 4 hasn't been the strongest draw for this grade, but the class and pace advantage look decisive regardless. Jazza Rooney also steps down from OR company and has an equally rich seam of winning course and distance form at D2 level, making her the obvious danger. Flosses Prada won last time out from the well-favoured trap 5, while Favourite Place, Luminous Dream and Kalukis Gamble all have questions to answer against this pair at the top of the market.
Drops in from OR grade, the very top level, and backs it up with by far the fastest recorded time in this field. Ten runs over this course and distance, mostly contested at the tougher D1 grade, have produced a striking run of wins, and the trainer strike rate here is the best of the six. Trap 4 hasn't been a happy hunting ground for this grade at Doncaster, but the scale of the class and pace advantage on show makes that a minor concern rather than a deal-breaker.
Also steps down having contested OR grade last time out, and her course and distance form at D2 level is rich with wins - five of her last ten runs at this trip have been victories. Only modest on the clock compared to the pace at the head of this field, but the volume of winning form and the class edge make her the clearest threat to the selection.
Consistent if unspectacular, with ten runs over this course and distance bringing regular frame finishes including a couple of wins. Reasonable pace but not fast enough to trouble the leading pair. Should be around the frame again.
Strong course and distance record with four wins from ten runs, but drawn in one of the weaker boxes for this grade and modest on the clock. The volume of form is there, just not quite the pace to match the class droppers in this field.
Also arrives having raced at OR grade recently, but she's a fader with an inconsistent pace pattern and poor recent placings, finishing well below par in three of her last five starts. The class hint is there but the profile and current form both work against her. Others have much stronger claims.
Won last time out over this course and distance and gets the best trap in the grade here. Ten runs at the track and trip have produced a good mix of wins and places, so she's clearly effective locally. Faces a much stronger test against the class droppers at the head of this market.
Key insight: Trap 5 is the standout box in D2 sprints here at just over 24% from 270 runs, with trap 4 the weakest at 17.4%.
T1:22.4% T2:18.5% T3:22.5% T4:17.4% T5:24.1% T6:21.6%
1,759 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 275m | 483m | 500m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Favourite Place | — | 0.624 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Luminous Dream | — | 0.626 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Kalukis Gamble | — | 0.618 | 0.619 | 0.593 | 0.626 |
| 4 | Shackelton Ace | — | 0.620 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Jazza Rooney | — | 0.625 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.