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#Lovethedogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ratchies Rasmusd 4y 33 | D Blackbird — 17% R1089 W183 P590 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 37 (5) | 35 (5) | 47 (3) | 57 (2) | 51 (4) | 42 (4) | 52 (3) | 48 (4) | 45 (4) | 53 (2) | 31 | 27 | - | 16 | 48 | 33 | 2 | 1/1F | |
| 2 | ▶ Drumnafern Blazed 4y 24 | J T Edgar — 16% R482 W78 P272 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 45 | 39 (2) | 40 (2) | 38 (4) | 37 (5) | 39 (5) | 42 (3) | 37 (4) | 48 (3) | 48 (2) | 41 (5) | 31 | 31 | 27 | 29 | 46 | 36 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Ngumohaaad 2y 15 | J T Edgar — 16% R482 W78 P272 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 49 | 42 (3) | 43 (4) | 43 (3) | 60 (2) | 57 (3) | 70 (1) | 58 (3) | 47 (2) | 46 (3) | 46 (3) | 38 | 35 | 28 | 38 | 46 | 40 | 1 | 2/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ A Bit Of Hunterd 2y 4 | S Ray — 15% R412 W60 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 44 (2) | 64 (2) | 43 (3) | 51 (5) | 39 (6) | 48 (4) | 48 (2) | 34 (6) | 38 (5) | - | 23 | 26 | 10 | 18 | 43 | 30 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Alnwick Wizard b 2y 10 | A Harrison — 20% R516 W101 P311 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 52 | 56 (1) | 41 (4) | 39 (5) | 44 (3) | 39 (3) | 38 (2) | 37 (3) | 44 (2) | 35 (4) | 44 (2) | 21 | 29 | 22 | 24 | 41 | 30 | 5 | 10/1 | |
Ngumohaaa gets the nod here on the strength of his outstanding suitability profile — the best in the field across every measure — and his draw in trap 3, which is one of the strongest positions at these conditions. His form is remarkably consistent, with recent efforts of 47, 46, 46, 49 and 45 rarely varying more than a few points. He is a closer by nature and at Newcastle, with its fair bends and lengthy home straight, that style works. His closing speed of 58 is the best in the field, and he should be finishing strongly when the Faders in front weaken. In a low-separation field where the model struggles to pick a winner, his structural advantages — good draw, best suitability, consistent form — give him the marginal edge.
Best ability and speed in the field but unproven at A8 — the clear danger.
Reliable performer but the dead draw is a significant headwind.
Declining form and a Fader over 480m — hard to see him featuring.
Best trap position but the weakest dog in the field — structure alone is not enough.
LOW SEPARATION — composite rank 1 barely outperforms rank 3. T3 is the second-best structural box from 240 runs, which supports the pick. A moderate field where consistency matters more than peak ability.
T1:18.85% T2:14.74% T3:21.67% T4:19.66% T5:22.17% T6:16.56%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ratchies Rasmus | 50 | 54 | All-Rounder |
2Drumnafern Blaze | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Ngumohaaa | 45 | 58 | Closer |
4A Bit Of Hunter | 55 | 28 | Fader |
5Alnwick Wizard | 53 | 12 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.