| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Without Wingsb 2y 14 | C S Fereday — 18% R455 W83 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 50 | 33 (5) | 36 (6) | 49 (3) | 54 (4) | 30 (3) | 31 (6) | 28 (3) | 31 (2) | 30 (4) | 37 (4) | 34 | 32 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Romantic Loveb 2y 7 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R618 W120 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 56 | 51 (3) | 30 (3) | 59 (1) | 49 (2) | 46 (3) | 50 (4) | 54 (2) | 47 (4) | 52 (2) | 52 (2) | 40 | 39 | 31 | 34 | 51 | 54 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Longacres Bockob 1y | P J Doocey — 16% R152 W25 P81 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 10 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Tireeb 3y 5 | J M Walton — 18% R233 W43 P118 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 43 | 44 (5) | 44 (5) | 52 (3) | 44 (5) | 44 (5) | 68 (4) | 55 (1) | 55 (2) | 40 (3) | - | 25 | 32 | 36 | 21 | 48 | 49 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bloos Bro Bugsyd 2y 6 | J B Thompson — 18% R527 W96 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 26 | 32 (6) | 52 (3) | 63 (1) | 58 (1) | 45 (4) | 46 (5) | 49 (3) | 41 (3) | 40 (5) | - | 19 | 31 | 27 | 30 | 48 | 46 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Aero Superstarb 1y 7 | R Taberner — 20% R759 W151 P428 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 58 (1) | 33 (6) | 43 (4) | 47 (3) | 53 (1) | 52 (1) | 30 (5) | 47 (1) | 33 (4) | 35 (3) | 44 | 34 | 18 | 42 | 45 | 49 | 3 | 11/1 | - | |
The best numbers in the race on paper — highest speed rating, highest composite score — and a natural front runner whose early pace could carry her to the front regardless of where the others are. She won at A8 three runs ago and has been competitive at A7 and above throughout her career. Trainer Paul Henderson has a terrific 30% win rate and clearly knows how to place a dog. The problem is trap 2: at A7 480m here, that draw wins only 14.5% from over 300 runs — the worst box at this grade and distance by some margin. The numbers are there but the draw is a structural burden she cannot ignore.
Recent wins at grade, elite closing speed, decent C&D record — legitimate each-way threat if field weakens in front.
Best trap, but form well below what is required at this grade.
No form to assess — cannot be considered a genuine factor.
Consistent placer but trap disadvantage and modest form at grade make a win unlikely.
Best course and distance record in the race combined with recent winning form — two solid stacking signals.
Trap 2 is structurally the worst box at A7 480m Monmore — only 14.5% from 318 runs. Trap 1 dominant at 24.9%. Composite R1 only 21.6% — speed-first analysis required at this middle grade.
T1:24.9% T2:14.5% T3:19.4% T4:15.5% T5:17.8% T6:18.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Without Wings | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Romantic Love | 55 | 50 | Front Runner |
3Longacres Bocko | — | — | No data |
4Tiree | 42 | 78 | Closer |
5Bloos Bro Bugsy | 35 | 98 | Closer |
6Aero Superstar | 52 | 32 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Without Wings | 0.603 | 0.617 |
| 2 | Romantic Love | 0.611 | 0.612 |
| 3 | Longacres Bocko | — | — |
| 4 | Tiree | — | 0.614 |
| 5 | Bloos Bro Bugsy | — | 0.613 |
| 6 | Aero Superstar | — | 0.619 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.