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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skirk Bolgerd 3y 16 | P S Rea — 14% R486 W70 P240 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 50 | 46 (5) | 52 (5) | 66 (4) | 57 (1) | 48 (2) | 56 (3) | 52 (2) | 17 (2) | - | - | 32 | 30 | 48 | 30 | 51 | 46 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Sober Speedd 5y 15 | P S Rea — 14% R486 W70 P240 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 43 | 44 (4) | 50 (3) | 45 (5) | 29 (6) | 45 (4) | 17 (3) | 49 (4) | 60 (2) | 22 (1) | 22 (1) | 30 | 24 | 11 | 15 | 41 | 39 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Savana Bethb 2y 17 | T J Nevin — 19% R449 W87 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 41 | 45 (5) | 54 (2) | 41 (5) | 25 (3) | 20 (2) | 11 (5) | 11 (6) | 44 (5) | 61 (5) | - | 30 | 13 | 39 | 16 | 37 | 35 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Spade Workb 2y 27 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R711 W140 P375 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 61 | 54 (3) | 34 (1) | 29 (2) | 24 (4) | 22 (2) | 33 (2) | 34 (1) | 23 (2) | 25 (2) | 28 (4) | 34 | 34 | - | - | 35 | 38 | 6 | 7/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Canya Queued 2y 17 | P S Rea — 14% R486 W70 P240 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 60 | 48 (3) | 66 (1) | 43 (4) | 52 (2) | 57 (2) | 18 (2) | 16 (2) | 15 (4) | 14 (4) | 10 (6) | 38 | 39 | 27 | 37 | 41 | 48 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Salems Mickeyd 2y 9 | S A Clark — 25% R207 W51 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 54 | 65 (1) | 40 (5) | 48 (2) | 45 (4) | 49 (3) | 64 (1) | 30 (6) | 56 (2) | 48 (2) | 51 (2) | 49 | 28 | 33 | 39 | 51 | 52 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
Salems Mickey gets the nod over his identically-rated rival Skirk Bolger based on two critical differentiators: recent winning form and a superior CD record. With avgP 51 and speed 56 they are dead level on ratings, and both are closers by style (Mickey CS63, Bolger CS66), but Mickey has 2 CD wins to Bolger single win, 7 CD places to Bolger 6, and crucially won his last race at A7 with a strong P66 performance. That recent victory demonstrates he is in current form and knows how to win at this exact venue and grade. His trap suitability of 49 from T6 (20.8%, second best trap) is the highest in the field, confirming this is a draw he handles well. His 70% CD place rate shows he is almost always competitive. The tentative confidence reflects the razor-thin margins — Bolger has the better trap draw (23% vs 20.8%) and could easily prevail if he reproduces his best form.
Dead level with pick on avgP 51 and speed 56 in the best trap T1 at 23% — only 1 CD win vs 2 keeps him as danger not pick
Two CD wins and best closer score CS82 but avgP 41 puts him 10 points behind the top two — a significant class gap
Fader with EP61 but CS0 — will show early pace then fade dramatically, 0 wins from 7 CD runs confirms she cannot compete
Intriguing bend at 61 from single CD run P54 finishing 3rd — attractive on bend impact but far too little evidence to trust
Best bend at 60 with decent speed 54 but only 1 win from 10 CD runs — can produce big P66 performances but far too inconsistent
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Skirk Bolger | 44 | 66 | Closer |
2Sober Speed | 36 | 82 | Closer |
3Savana Beth | 61 | 0 | Fader |
4Spade Work | 58 | 36 | Fader |
5Canya Queue | 56 | 37 | Fader |
6Salems Mickey | 41 | 63 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 415m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (415m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skirk Bolger | — | 0.660 | — |
| 2 | Sober Speed | — | 0.664 | — |
| 3 | Savana Beth | 0.671 | 0.669 | 0.619 |
| 4 | Spade Work | 0.657 | 0.664 | — |
| 5 | Canya Queue | — | 0.664 | — |
| 6 | Salems Mickey | — | 0.663 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.