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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Spot On Amethystd 4y 16 | K Dodington — 17% R102 W17 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 23 (5) | 31 (1) | 24 (4) | 23 (3) | 76 (4) | 63 (4) | 31 (3) | 41 (1) | 27 (5) | 36 (3) | 24 | 18 | 31 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Selker Bay Belleb 3y 24 | K Dodington — 17% R102 W17 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | - | 14 (5) | 24 (3) | 32 (1) | 20 (5) | 100 (1) | 68 (5) | 29 (5) | 37 (2) | 29 (5) | 37 (3) | 34 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 20 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Southafrikkab 3y 23 | J J Heath — 21% R348 W72 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 22 (4) | 30 (4) | 28 (5) | 35 (2) | 25 (5) | 16 (5) | 37 (1) | 32 (1) | 24 (3) | 24 (3) | 28 | 30 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Selker Bay Daisyb 3y 6 | K Dodington — 17% R102 W17 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 25 (4) | 22 (5) | 47 (6) | 66 (5) | 77 (3) | 53 (1) | 52 (3) | 57 (3) | 76 (3) | - | 28 | - | - | - | 24 | 21 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Burrows Sonicd 1y 5 | J J Heath — 21% R348 W72 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 26 (3) | 32 (1) | 28 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 26 | 47 | 23 | 43 | 29 | 32 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Courancove Wildd 2y 53 | M J Richards — 16% R164 W26 P87 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 31 (5) | 39 (4) | 37 (4) | 57 (3) | 61 (1) | 41 (4) | 47 (2) | 46 (2) | 38 (6) | 54 (4) | 6 | 20 | 37 | - | 43 | 28 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
Drawn in the catastrophically worst trap at D3 285m Hove — trap 5 wins just 7.7% from 52 runs, the lowest win rate of any box at this distance by a wide margin. Has the joint-best speed rating among regular sprinters at 53, and the form from three races shows modestly improving runs of 26, 32, and 28. However the trap position is an insurmountable structural obstacle at a sprint venue where the draw decides the race before the first bend. Cannot be recommended regardless of speed.
Structural trap advantage is enormous at 285m Hove but recent form is well below par — a danger rather than the pick.
Recent form is very poor with a 14-rated run last time — needs a major improvement to be involved.
Best speed among the regular sprinters but form level is modest and the trap position is below average.
No course or distance experience and Closer profile poorly suited to sprint — hard to recommend.
Speculative: class drop from A6 and extraordinary early pace could be devastating at D3 sprint, but untried at 285m and recent 500m form modest — high uncertainty but compelling upside.
Trap 1 wins a massive 29.8% from 94 runs at D3 285m Hove — the dominant structural draw. Trap 5 wins just 7.7% — the worst box in the race. Speed rank 1 wins 25.9% — better than composite.
T1:29.8% T2:18.9% T3:17.3% T4:19.6% T5:7.7% T6:21.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 285m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (285m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 260m | 285m | 450m | 460m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spot On Amethyst | 0.611 | 0.644 | 0.600 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Selker Bay Belle | 0.607 | 0.632 | 0.607 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Southafrikka | — | — | 0.600 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Selker Bay Daisy | — | — | 0.601 | 0.610 | 0.646 | — |
| 5 | Burrows Sonic | — | — | 0.600 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Courancove Wild | — | — | — | — | — | 0.614 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.