Loading...
The Afternoon Continues @Napoleons Casino
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Anglesey Shadowb 2y 17 | R Holt — 15% R40 W6 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 21 | 56 (4) | 65 (2) | 52 (4) | 58 (2) | 63 (1) | 40 (4) | - | - | - | - | 46 | 66 | - | 51 | - | 19 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Lowgate Blue Boyd 2y 34 | J E Hayton — 12% R25 W3 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 57 | 21 (6) | 19 (6) | 22 (4) | 23 (5) | 42 (5) | 50 (4) | 53 (5) | 47 (4) | 34 (5) | 53 (3) | 45 | 44 | 10 | 25 | 47 | 44 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Feora Sarab 4y 27 | D L Fretwell — 16% R162 W26 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 55 (4) | 65 (1) | 46 (4) | 53 (4) | 51 (4) | 59 (2) | 33 (5) | 67 (2) | 56 (2) | 43 (3) | 39 | 26 | 29 | 25 | 53 | 45 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Georges Charmb 2y 13 | K Hodson — 20% R255 W51 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 74 | 27 (4) | 30 (3) | 27 (5) | 48 (4) | 28 (4) | 53 (3) | 51 (4) | 54 (3) | 49 (4) | 66 (1) | 53 | 37 | 25 | 33 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 11/10F | |
| 5 | ▶ Acomb Billyd 3y 6 | K J Ferguson — 31% R51 W16 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 52 (3) | 68 (1) | 67 (2) | 57 (2) | 61 (3) | 52 (4) | 67 (1) | 48 (3) | 71 (1) | 40 (5) | 35 | 46 | 21 | 39 | 55 | 50 | 4 | 3/1 | |
Georges Charm is the prediction and the alignment of factors is strong. He's drawn in the dominant trap 4 which wins 25% of A6 races from over 250 runs — the best structural position on the track. He has the strongest early pace in the field with a front-running style and perfect pace consistency of 100%, meaning he produces the same pace profile every time. He won his last two starts — at A6 and A7 — showing improving form at just the right time. His bend rating of 74 is the best in the field which is crucial on a track where the first bend is decisive. Trap suitability of 53 confirms he handles the draw. The data converges here: dominant trap, best pace, improving form.
Decent draw with early pace and fair ability — the main danger if he can get close to his best form.
Trial-grade form that's unlikely to be competitive in A6 company — outclassed on ability.
A6 winner but unreliable form — likely to be involved without seriously threatening the pick.
Best raw ability but the dead trap draw and closing style combination is too much to overcome.
T4 is dominant at 25.4% from 256 runs — the clear best draw. T5 is structurally dead. The model's composite ranks 1 and 2 are virtually identical in win rate — separation is genuine but not overwhelming.
T1:21.8% T2:22.5% T3:19.9% T4:25.4% T5:13.7% T6:15.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Anglesey Shadow | 29 | 100 | Closer |
2Lowgate Blue Boy | 63 | 23 | Fader |
3Feora Sara | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Georges Charm | 79 | 0 | Fader |
5Acomb Billy | 46 | 68 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.