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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Keefill Stormd 2y 7 | J W Gaskin — 22% R320 W71 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 50 | 41 (3) | 59 (1) | 59 (1) | 30 (5) | 59 (1) | 47 (2) | 34 (4) | 55 (2) | 51 (2) | 51 (2) | 49 | 40 | - | 51 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 20/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Water Divinerd 2y 7 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R314 W56 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 37 | 44 | 46 (4) | 44 (3) | 32 (5) | 57 (1) | 41 (3) | 44 (2) | 40 (4) | 34 (4) | 38 (4) | 31 (5) | 18 | 18 | - | 16 | 42 | 30 | 5 | 14/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Ballinderry Lunab 2y 8 | S Watson — 30% R410 W124 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 49 | 54 (3) | 59 (1) | 42 (4) | 52 (2) | 44 (2) | 55 (2) | 61 (1) | 56 (3) | 48 (2) | 48 (3) | 43 | 49 | - | 46 | 52 | 55 | 1 | 4/6F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Millhouse Craigd 3y 6 | R J Overton — 18% R310 W55 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 62 | 60 (2) | 45 (4) | 49 (2) | 44 (3) | 54 (5) | 60 (5) | 41 (1) | 34 (4) | 39 (5) | - | 29 | 32 | - | 23 | 49 | 48 | 2 | 11/10 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Millhouse Charmb 3y 6 | R J Overton — 18% R310 W55 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 50 | 42 (3) | 49 (2) | 45 (3) | 44 (4) | 45 (3) | 41 (2) | 41 (4) | 40 (4) | 59 (1) | 58 (1) | 38 | 34 | - | 24 | 45 | 46 | 3 | 10/1 | ||
The pick despite the worst trap statistically at 17.67% because the raw ability trumps the draw. Best time of 27.86 is the fastest in the field by a full half-second, speed rating of 60 is six points clear of the next best, and she has won in B2 which gives her a proven class edge over this B3 field. AvgP of 52 is the highest in the race. Form is inconsistent with peaks and troughs between 42 and 59, but the ceiling is clearly the highest here. EP of 50 as a Closer means she will not lead but Watson kennel at 28% strike rate is the best trainer representation in the race. If she reproduces anything near her best she wins this comfortably, but the inconsistency and poor trap draw make it a Tentative selection rather than anything stronger.
In-form B4 winner stepping up, positional edge from T1 but class ceiling is a concern.
Lowest ratings in the field with poor track and distance suitability, hard to fancy.
Best bend rating and B2 placings show class, but Fader profile means he may not see it out.
Consistent but average, lacks the ceiling to win against the better dogs in this field.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Keefill Storm | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Water Diviner | 43 | 100 | Closer |
3Ballinderry Luna | 50 | 70 | Closer |
4Millhouse Craig | 60 | 0 | Fader |
6Millhouse Charm | 53 | 18 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.