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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salvador Aerielb 3y 4 | D Blackbird — 17% R1101 W187 P594 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 49 | 54 (3) | 52 (3) | 39 (4) | 53 (3) | 58 (3) | 58 (3) | 53 (4) | 45 (3) | 56 (3) | 54 (3) | 51 | 52 | 34 | 42 | 55 | 53 | 1 | 2/1F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Wraysbury Aced 1y 5 | P Rutherford — 19% R338 W64 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 42 | 69 (3) | 61 (2) | 71 (3) | 54 (5) | 82 (1) | 79 (2) | 63 (1) | - | - | - | 37 | 59 | - | 61 | 63 | 59 | 2 | 3/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Swift Kingd 2y 16 | S Ray — 15% R420 W61 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 56 | 82 (2) | 56 (4) | 42 (6) | 66 (2) | 56 (2) | 56 (3) | 71 (2) | 71 (1) | 63 (1) | 46 (3) | 34 | 29 | - | 23 | 55 | 46 | 4 | 3/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Working Bootsb 2y 15 | D Blackbird — 17% R1101 W187 P594 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 49 | 54 (3) | 49 (6) | 53 (4) | 45 (5) | 68 (2) | 64 (2) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 56 (3) | 54 (2) | 19 | 31 | 14 | 31 | 48 | 41 | 5 | 5/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Swift Enjoyb 3y 4 | R J Buckton — 20% R206 W41 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 62 | 47 (4) | 69 (1) | 58 (2) | 62 (1) | 52 (2) | 36 (6) | 58 (3) | 63 (1) | 41 (4) | 46 (3) | 33 | 31 | 36 | 34 | 47 | 42 | 3 | 10/3 | ||
Salvador Aeriel drops back to A6 after two runs at A5 where he held his own with a pair of thirds, recording a very quick 29.43 last time. That's the fastest recent time in this field by some margin, and suggests he's racing well above this grade on his day. He's a closer who will save ground on the rail and finish strongly through the long home straight, which is exactly the profile that Newcastle rewards. His suitability is excellent — proven at this track with a strong record from inside draws. The drop in class should prove decisive.
Raw ability is head and shoulders above these but limited experience introduces risk — the obvious danger.
Last-time-out winner stepping up in class — has the guts to compete but may find the rise in grade too sharp.
Strong finisher from the best draw but extreme profile means he's at the mercy of the pace — place at best.
Front-runner stepping up from A7 — will be involved early but faces a structural headwind from the wide draw.
Inside draws favoured at A6 480m. Speed is highly predictive with rank 1 and rank 2 both winning above 20%. Composite rank 1 at 22.45% shows reasonable separation.
T1:20.97% T2:17.58% T3:20.22% T4:21.60% T5:18.09% T6:15.98%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Salvador Aeriel | 50 | 58 | Closer |
2Wraysbury Ace | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Swift King | 58 | 35 | Fader |
4Working Boots | 14 | 100 | Closer |
6Swift Enjoy | 60 | 18 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.