@NewcastleDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Blackhouseharietb 2y 8 | S Ray — 15% R408 W62 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 42 | 47 (4) | 71 (1) | 67 (1) | 61 (2) | 46 (4) | 67 (1) | 62 (1) | 50 (2) | 48 (3) | 44 (3) | 37 | 32 | 31 | 48 | 58 | 49 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Midtown Romeod 1y 13 | D Winder — 17% R140 W24 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 49 | 43 (5) | 37 (5) | 60 (2) | 61 (3) | 46 (4) | 42 (6) | 50 (5) | 68 (3) | 72 (2) | - | 22 | 21 | 17 | 18 | 50 | 39 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Coopers Richied 3y 5 | J J Fenwick — 18% R500 W89 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 46 | 71 (1) | 60 (2) | 64 (2) | 68 (1) | 67 (1) | 43 (5) | 38 (5) | 60 (2) | 30 (6) | - | 34 | 32 | 20 | 50 | 60 | 52 | 4 | 6/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Slingshot Lomondd 1yN/R 3 | P Rutherford — 18% R345 W62 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 51 | 30 (6) | 36 (6) | 71 (1) | 63 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 35 | 20 | 31 | 47 | 41 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ A Bit Of Ebonyb 2y 7 | S Ray — 15% R408 W62 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 66 | 58 (3) | 43 (5) | 61 (3) | 50 (4) | 32 (6) | 74 (1) | 57 (2) | 62 (3) | 62 (2) | - | 24 | 25 | 42 | 21 | 54 | 48 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Enjoyb 3y 17 | R J Buckton — 19% R210 W40 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 71 (1) | 51 (3) | 47 (4) | 69 (1) | 58 (2) | 62 (1) | 52 (2) | 36 (6) | 58 (3) | 49 (2) | 32 | 33 | 18 | 44 | 57 | 48 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
The fastest dog on the clock in this field and has the best first-bend rating, which means she will likely make the early running from trap 5. A Front Runner who gets across quickly, but the trap is the structural problem: box 5 produces just 16% of A5 winners at Newcastle — the worst trap at this grade. One win from ten course and distance starts is a poor conversion for a dog who has run so many times here. At a fair galloping track, front-running types face the challenge of being run down late, and the combination of the poorest trap and a limited course record makes this hard to back at a price that reflects her speed.
40% course and distance win rate from 10 runs is exceptional. Below-average trap but C&D record overrides that concern.
Poor recent form and poor trap. Outside calculations.
Composite R1, best avgP, best trap at A5, 30% C&D rate, and recent win — multiple stacking signals.
Small C&D sample, very poor LR (P30 last), lowest avgP in field. Cannot recommend.
Recent winner, 30% C&D rate, but poor trap at A5. Place chance only.
T3 best trap at A5 (22.4%). Composite R1 wins 22.8%. Course and distance record is a strong secondary signal at Newcastle — dogs with 25%+ C&D win rates from 3+ runs lift win probability significantly.
T1:19.4% T2:16.8% T3:22.4% T4:20.9% T5:16.1% T6:17.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Blackhousehariet | 38 | 81 | Closer |
2Midtown Romeo | 53 | 52 | All-Rounder |
3Coopers Richie | 45 | 62 | Closer |
4Slingshot Lomond | 47 | 45 | All-Rounder |
5A Bit Of Ebony | 55 | 48 | Front Runner |
6Swift Enjoy | 57 | 35 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.