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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Antigua Belleb 4y 28 | J J Heath — 21% R367 W77 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 20 | 36 (2) | 24 (6) | 29 (5) | 41 (2) | 31 (3) | 36 (3) | 44 (1) | 39 (2) | 27 (6) | 33 (4) | 36 | 32 | 27 | 24 | 33 | 37 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Punkrock Pitstopb 3y 9 | S Maplesden — 17% R274 W46 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 52 | 39 (2) | 40 (3) | 40 (4) | 26 (5) | 39 (3) | 32 (4) | 40 (2) | 31 (5) | 48 (1) | 27 (6) | 34 | 31 | 22 | 16 | 35 | 28 | 3 | 10/3 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Reflectionb 3y 19 | J J Heath — 21% R367 W77 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 53 | 33 (2) | 34 (5) | 27 (5) | 45 (2) | 31 (4) | 35 (4) | 45 (2) | 40 (4) | 44 (2) | 45 (3) | 34 | 33 | 44 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 2 | 11/8F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Chisem Izzieb 1y 5 | R J Holloway — 22% R296 W65 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 51 | 34 (3) | 19 (6) | 38 (4) | 21 (6) | 29 (5) | 47 (1) | 42 (1) | 31 (2) | 22 (5) | 32 (3) | 45 | 37 | 23 | 30 | 33 | 37 | 4 | 6/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Fastlane Bearb 3y 110 | G S Byford — 22% R227 W51 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 45 | 44 (3) | 49 (2) | 35 (3) | 30 (5) | 30 (5) | 30 (5) | 34 (5) | 30 (4) | 50 (2) | 52 (3) | 17 | 14 | - | 10 | 36 | 37 | 1 | 11/4 | ||
Ran second at A10 Hove just eleven days ago (6 May, P33, pos 2), confirming current well-being and direct course-and-distance relevance. Performance rating of 36 is joint-highest in the field alongside Fastlane Bear, but Reflection achieves this from a more favourable draw and with consistent recent engagement. The form trajectory of P33/P34/P27/P45/P31/P35 demonstrates steady presence at this grade level with an ability to hit the frame regularly. Track suitability of 33 and distance suitability of 29 are both strong relative to the field. Trap four carries a solid 19.8% win rate at A10 Hove and the combination of recent form, suitability, and grade familiarity makes this the most rounded selection.
The suitability leader in this race with a grade drop working in her favour — the clearest danger to the pick and capable of winning if the drop provides the expected relief.
Back-to-back sixths and the worst first-bend rating in the field — despite the track suitability, the current form cycle argues strongly against.
The quality is there but five weeks off the track at A10 makes this too speculative — needs to show fitness before being backed with confidence.
Fastest in the field but trapped six with limited course suitability — the wide draw is a significant structural disadvantage over 500m at Hove at this grade.
A10 at Hove follows the standard 500m inside-draw pattern, with traps one through four holding the statistical advantage. Speed rank one wins at around 22%, so pace-setters matter but the race is open enough for closers from the middle traps.
T1:22.9% T3:21.7% T4:19.8% T5:18.6% T6:12.4% T2:11.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Antigua Belle | 27 | 100 | Closer |
3Punkrock Pitstop | 54 | 48 | All-Rounder |
4Reflection | 55 | 50 | Front Runner |
5Chisem Izzie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Fastlane Bear | 50 | 78 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.