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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Westway Bacchusd 2y 26 | J B Thompson — 18% R499 W90 P273 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 53 | 53 (4) | 74 (1) | 65 (2) | 31 (2) | 58 (3) | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 55 (3) | 73 (1) | 59 (3) | 44 | 36 | 36 | 19 | 53 | 53 | 1 | 6/4F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Datona Vanguardd 2y 13 | D J Page — 22% R83 W18 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 52 | 38 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 58 | 73 | - | 66 | 38 | 51 | 2 | 4/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Ayle Bucksd 3y 24 | J M Walton — 21% R232 W49 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 47 | 37 (4) | 50 (4) | 66 (2) | 53 (5) | 69 (1) | 56 (3) | 33 (6) | 33 (2) | 32 (2) | 36 (1) | 37 | 54 | 27 | 34 | 51 | 48 | 5 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Fiftyd 2y 110 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R583 W109 P330 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 46 | 74 (1) | 69 (1) | 52 (5) | 57 (2) | 65 (2) | 55 (3) | 66 (3) | 54 (4) | 47 (6) | 51 (5) | 39 | 34 | 31 | 25 | 56 | 48 | 4 | 11/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Tireeb 3y 14 | J M Walton — 21% R232 W49 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 36 | 44 (5) | 68 (4) | 56 (1) | 55 (2) | 68 (3) | 63 (1) | 45 (1) | 63 (4) | 54 (2) | - | 34 | 29 | 23 | 46 | 56 | 47 | 6 | 8/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Longacres Ellab 2y 10 | P J Doocey — 20% R132 W26 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 59 | 64 (1) | 46 (5) | 48 (5) | 53 (4) | 37 (6) | 57 (2) | 58 (2) | 50 (4) | 50 (5) | 72 (1) | 39 | 37 | 27 | 35 | 56 | 49 | 3 | 5/1 | ||
Longacres Ella has a performance figure of 56 matching the top tier, and she's drawn in the second-best box which wins 21.67% of A5 races at Monmore. Her all-rounder profile with good bend work at 59 means she should be prominent early from the wide draw and maintain her position through the bends. Her suitability is moderate but balanced, and trainer Doocey's 20% rate is solid. In a low-separation race where ratings offer no edge, the structural advantage of the draw tips the balance. She's not the flashiest pick but the data supports the selection.
Dominant draw with best speed in a race where ratings don't separate — the principal danger on structural grounds.
Outstanding course credentials but significantly outclassed on ability — the suitability can't fully compensate for the class gap.
Competitive ability and course form but drawn in the dead trap — the structural headwind is too significant.
Competitive ability from a neutral draw but nothing to separate him from the pack in a low-separation race.
Strong finisher with decent stamina credentials but a neutral draw limits her in a race where structure matters most.
Extremely low separation — composite rank 3 actually OUTPERFORMS rank 1 (23.64% vs 17.5%). This is an inverted field where ratings are essentially random. T1 and T6 are the only two boxes performing above expected. T3 is dead at 15%. Lead with trap bias and suitability, not performance ratings.
T1:22.22% T2:17.23% T3:15% T4:18.11% T5:17.1% T6:21.67%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Westway Bacchus | 51 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Datona Vanguard | 51 | 26 | All-Rounder |
3Ayle Bucks | 49 | 49 | All-Rounder |
4Fifty | 47 | 53 | All-Rounder |
5Tiree | 39 | 74 | Closer |
6Longacres Ella | 52 | 41 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.