Loading racecard
Loading...
Loading racecard
Orchestrate 460
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Maireads Diamondd 2y 23 | D W Lee — 20% R234 W46 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | 0 | 67 | 91 (1) | 47 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 38 | - | 10 | - | 71 | 10 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Start The Engined 3y 44 | K R Hutton — 28% R123 W34 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | 37 | 0 | 45 (6) | 47 (6) | 81 (2) | 59 (6) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 94 (1) | 95 (1) | 95 (1) | 68 | - | 95 | - | 80 | 37 | 4 | 2/1F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Headford Ciand 2y 26 | M L Locke — 22% R287 W63 P168 Trainer form — last 3 months | 66 | 100 | 77 (3) | 84 (2) | 94 (1) | 56 (5) | 100 (1) | 78 (3) | - | - | - | - | 7 | 25 | 40 | 27 | 82 | 55 | 3 | 5/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Keefill Rockyd 3y 34 | P Milner — 21% R68 W14 P35 Trainer form — last 3 months | 0 | 32 | 71 (2) | 69 (3) | 76 (2) | 53 (4) | 54 (6) | 66 (4) | 73 (4) | 41 (6) | 93 (1) | 53 (4) | 29 | 18 | 38 | - | 66 | 38 | 6 | 8/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Coppice Ferryd 2y 19 | K R Hutton — 28% R123 W34 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | 71 | 100 | 65 (4) | 94 (1) | 87 (2) | 72 (2) | 47 (6) | 70 (3) | 69 (3) | 77 (2) | 61 (4) | 67 (3) | 49 | 51 | 62 | 53 | 74 | 66 | 2 | 7/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Bubbly Crusaderd 3y 24 | P W Young — 19% R1304 W242 P764 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | 1 | 88 (2) | 82 (2) | 91 (1) | 89 (1) | 93 (1) | 91 (1) | 90 (1) | 53 (6) | 63 (4) | 37 (6) | - | - | 17 | - | 80 | 51 | 1 | 11/4 | ||
Coppice Ferry leads the field on composite at 66 and arrives with the deepest form record at Towcester 460m OR of any runner in this race: three consecutive runs at this exact track, trip and grade producing a win on May 10 and two seconds-place finishes, with the most recent outing just one week ago. That pattern — win-place-place at the same specification — establishes both the ability to win at this grade and consistent form without evidence of deterioration. Speed rating of 71 is competitive. Bend rank of 100 matches Headford Cian for first-turn dominance, meaning both the selection and the danger will be committed into the bend early and the outcome may hinge on which clears the turn with the rail. Trainer Hutton at 28% adds professional backing. Drawing T5 at 15.38% structural rate is the weakest element of the case — T5 is below the field structural average — but the composite lead, form depth at this exact configuration, and peak-rated recent performance outweigh the draw discount when set against a field that lacks a rival with equivalent evidence.
Structurally dominant T3 draw, bend rank R1, and a recent Towcester 460m OR win — the primary danger to the selection.
Only two career runs — insufficient evidence base to assess at OR class against experienced rivals.
Consistent Closer form at 450m with highest average among chasers but mid-field composite and no direct Towcester 460m OR wins.
Weakest model profile in the field combined with the lowest structural draw rate — no analytical basis for selection.
Speed R1 but T6 returns zero wins at Towcester 460m OR from 72 runs and distance suitability is zero — structural and evidential elimination.
T3 dominant at 30.77%. T6 zero wins from 72 OR runs — structural elimination. T4 at 10.26% is the weakest non-zero berth. Selection must balance composite R1 from T5 against T3 structural dominance.
T1:25.64% T2:17.95% T3:30.77% T4:10.26% T5:15.38% T6:0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Maireads Diamond | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Start The Engine | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Headford Cian | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Keefill Rocky | 38 | 100 | Closer |
5Coppice Ferry | 62 | 0 | Fader |
6Bubbly Crusader | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.